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Special report
Monsoon:
Tropical Cyclone 03P (Jasper) re-intensified to a cat 2 and swung back to the SW and began crossing early evening. The system producing gusts around 115km/h. The system should weaken into a low and shift towards the gulf.
Storms:
Tropical Cyclone Jasper is expected to weaken to a low in north QLD, still bringing heavy rain and damaging winds. Troughs will trigger showers and storms in the NT and QLD, directing hot winds to the east. A front will bring showers to TAS and a southerly change to the NSW coast.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Barron River.
Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip & East Gippsland Coast.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds, Large Hail & Heavy Rain) Blue Mountains/Hawkesbury, Sydney & Wollondilly/Wingecarribee areas.
Major Flood Warning For The Daintree And Flood Warning For The Mossman River.
Severe Storm Warning (Winds, Hail & Rain) Hunter, Metropolitan, Illawarra, C Tablelands, S Tablelands, SW Slopes, Riverina & Snowy Mtns.
Storm Force Wind Warning for Cooktown and Cairns coasts. Strong Wind Warning for Peninsula and Townsville coasts.
Tropical Cyclone Advice For Queensland.
Strong Wind Warning for Macquarie, Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds) for East Gippsland, North East and parts of West and South Gippsland and Northern Country.
Cancellation of Wind Warning for Western Port.
Strong Wind Warning for Perth Local Waters & Gascoyne, Geraldton, Perth and Bunbury Geographe coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Gulf St Vincent, Investigator Strait & South Central Coast. Cancellation for Spencer Gulf & Central Coast.
Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin.
Severe Weather Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall & Damaging Winds) for Peninsula, Gulf Country & Northern Goldfields & Upper Flinders.
Minor Flood Warning For The Tully River And Flood Warning For The Murray River.
Fire Weather Warning for Greater Hunter and Greater Sydney Region.
Moderate Flood Warning For The Mulgrave River And Flood Warning For The Russell River.
Final Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Flood Watch For The North Tropical Coast, Parts Of The Cape York Peninsula And Gulf Country.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Final Flood Warning For The Barcoo River.
Fire Weather Warning for Midwest Coast, Midwest Inland, Swan Inland North and Swan Inland South.
Fire Weather Warning for Riverland.
Fire Weather Warning for Mallee, Wimmera and Northern Country.
3hourly rainfall over night
National
Tropical Cyclone Jasper to cross Far North Queensland, moving west. Remnants will reach Gulf of Carpentaria. Tasman Sea high maintains ridge over southern, central Queensland. Westward moving trough brings heat, unsettled conditions.
State
Tropical Cyclone Jasper to cross Far North Queensland coast, moving west. Remnants move across Peninsula then into Gulf of Carpentaria. Tasman Sea high maintains ridge over southern and central Queensland. Trough in far west moves east, increasing heat and unsettled conditions.
4-day
Thursday: Tropical Cyclone Jasper to bring heavy rain, strong winds to north Queensland. Scattered showers in eastern districts and isolated showers in western Queensland. Partly cloudy in southeast Queensland. Gale to storm force winds near Tropical Cyclone Jasper. Fresh east to southeast winds in northern areas. Light to moderate north to northeasterly winds elsewhere.
Friday: Cape York Peninsula and North Tropical Coast will see showers and storms with heavy rain. Showers and storms will also occur in other parts of the state, except in the far southwest. Southeastern Queensland may experience severe showers and storms. Southeast will have severe heatwave conditions. Maximum temperatures will be above average in the west and southeast, but below average in Far North Queensland.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms in Queensland, dry in the southwest. Isolated showers in the east. Heatwave in the southeast.
Sunday: Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms expected from Gulf Country to South East Queensland, becoming widespread on the Peninsula. Sunny in the southwest. Above-average temperatures in southeastern and western Queensland, below average in Far North Queensland.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: 29, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: damaging wind gusts to 100 km/h, Wind direction: unknown, Rainfall: heavy falls possible, Other: Cloudy, very high chance of showers, chance of a thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: mid to high 20s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: easterly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly and light in the late evening, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: Cloudy with very high chance of showers in the north and high chance elsewhere, Other: Chance of a thunderstorm in the north.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: easterly 15 to 20 km/h, Wind direction: northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, Other: possibility of thunderstorm.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: 34, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: Unknown, Wind direction: Unknown, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers, Chance of thunderstorm, Heavy falls possible south of Coen, Damaging wind gusts possible depending on Tropical Cyclone Jasper's movement and development.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 42, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: 25 to 40 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: 39 Min temperature: low to mid 20s Wind speed: 35 to 55 km/h
Wind direction: east to southeasterly becoming easterly Rainfall: medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm
Capricornia:
The weather will be partly cloudy with light winds becoming north to northeasterly at 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day, with overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 and daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s; Min temperature: 18-21; Wind speed: 15-20 km/h; Wind direction: east to northeasterly, tending north to northeasterly; Rainfall: chance of a shower in southwest, near zero chance elsewhere; Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm in afternoon and evening.
Central West:
Max temperature: 39, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: northeast to southeasterly 15 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: northeasterly to southeasterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with slight chance of thunderstorm.
North West:
The weather forecast is for maximum temperature of around 40°C, minimum temperature in the mid to high 20s, wind speed of 20 to 30 km/h from the northeast to southeasterly direction, with a slight chance of a shower and a chance of a thunderstorm, and partly cloudy conditions.
Channel Country:
The maximum temperature will be 35 to 42 with wind speeds of 15 to 30 km/h, chance of showers, and overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Maximum temperature: low to high 30s; Minimum temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h; Wind direction: west to northwesterly; Rainfall: Partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon, possibly severe; Other: Chance of a thunderstorm; Winds becoming light in the evening.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temp: mid to high 30s, Min temp: 17-23, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon, Wind direction: north to northwesterly early in the morning, Rainfall: mostly sunny with medium chance of showers in the southwest and slight chance elsewhere, Other: chance of a thunderstorm from late morning.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
The weather will be partly cloudy with light winds becoming northerly, reaching speeds of 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day before becoming light in the late evening. The maximum temperature will range from 31 to 37 degrees, while the minimum temperature will be between 16 and 21 degrees.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 17-20, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: Mostly sunny with chance of thunderstorm in southern border in the afternoon and evening.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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