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Colour your Daily Forecast - Mar 1 - Wally's Weather Australia

  • Feb 28
  • 16 min read

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National Synoptic Situation


National Temperature and Rainfall


  • Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.

  • Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.


National Synoptic Situation

QLD:

Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive with a weakening ridge in southern Queensland and a weak pressure gradient elsewhere in the state. Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred is just chilling out in the Coral Sea, causing some windy and wavy conditions along the east coast. Don't worry, Alfred isn't crashing any beach parties just yet - it's expected to meander southwards this weekend and continue to loiter in the southern Coral Sea next week. As for the trough in the southwest, it's basically setting up camp in the interior for the next few days. So, grab your umbrella and hold onto your hats, because it's shaping up to be a slightly unpredictable week in the world of weather. Stay safe out there, folks!


NSW and ACT:

Well, folks, it looks like we've got a couple of troughs hanging around in NSW, one in the northwest and another along the south coast. The coastal trough is going to get a little push from a high pressure system making its way to Tasmania by Sunday and then into the Tasman Sea on Monday. Keep an eye out for Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred as it heads south in the Coral Sea, potentially stirring up some unstable conditions on the north coast next week. So, get ready to batten down the hatches and keep an eye on those weather updates!


VIC:

Well, it seems like we've got a high pressure system in the Indian Ocean showing off its prowess by extending a ridge over Victoria. This will result in a lovely south to southwesterly airstream flowing across the State late Friday and into the weekend. But wait, there's more! A weak cold front will swing by south of Victoria on late Saturday just to keep things interesting. Meanwhile, the high will be strutting its stuff over the Bight, reinforcing that southerly airstream on Sunday. Come Monday, the winds will do a little dance and turn southeasterly. Then Tuesday and Wednesday, they'll switch things up again and blow more east to northeasterly as the high decides to take a vacation in the Tasman Sea. Just your typical weather shenanigans, nothing to see here.


SA:

So, it looks like we've got some high pressure hanging out down south and a trough just kind of chilling up in the far northeast. This high pressure system is going to set up shop south of the Bight on Sunday, while the trough moseys on out of SA and into Queensland. By early next week, the high will start heading southeast, followed by yet another high setting up south of the Bight by midweek. Mother nature sure likes to keep us on our toes, doesn't she? So, get ready for some fun weather patterns ahead!


WA:

Well folks, it looks like there's a big ol' low pressure trough hanging out over northern WA. So, grab your umbrellas and hold onto your hats, because things might get a little breezy. Remember, low pressure usually means unsettled weather, so don't be surprised if you see some rain or storms in the forecast. Stay safe out there, and maybe consider investing in a barometer to keep track of these pesky pressure systems.


TAS:

Well, it looks like Tasmania is getting a break from the cold front today as it heads east. But don't get too comfortable, because on Saturday we'll be dealing with some northwesterly winds before another cold front crashes the party in the west late in the evening. As we roll into Sunday and Monday, a high will be building over the state, bringing some much-needed stability. And just when you thought you could relax, Tuesday rolls around with a warm northeasterly wind as the high decides to take a vacation over the Tasman Sea. Mother nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!


NT:

Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive up in Northern Territory. A weak ridge is throwing some dry air down south, making showers and thunderstorms basically ghost towns over the weekend. Meanwhile, a feeble trough is just hanging out in the southern part of NT, probably taking a nap. But don't worry, on Sunday a high from the Bight is going to come in like a tough guy and push that lazy trough up north into central districts. Just another day in the wild world of weather!

National Weather Warnings

New South Wales

No warnings available at this time for New South Wales.

Victoria

No warnings available at this time for Victoria.

Queensland

Western Australia

South Australia

No warnings available at this time for South Australia.

Tasmania

Northern Territory


National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook




 

Four Day Forecasts

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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G)


Monsoon Update

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Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred is back to a Category 4, sustained winds of 90 knots (165 km/h) and gusts up to 125 knots (230 km/h). It is about 690 km east of Mackay and 660 km northeast of Rockhampton, moving south at 8 knots (15 km/h).


Now let's be real clear, forecasts have only ever been reliable in the modern age for 4 days, after that it is the uncertainty period. So while you are wondering does anyone know, yes, 4 days ahead. And that is how we have been doing the forecast all the way through. If you flick between this site and others, you will go from 4 days to 10 days to 4 days to 7 days to whatever. And it will feel like a yoyo, but really, STC Alfred has actually moved very close to forecast. It has not produced any surprises so far.


If you want to look ahead, and wonder what might happen, then join me in my wonderworld of the Pulse 2 blog, but beware, it's not for the faint at heart. https://www.wallysweather.com.au/post/monsoon-pulse-2


Below we have the top 3 images (ECMWF, GFS, ACCESS G) representing the closest point Alfred will reach which is about 2pm on March 2nd (Sunday). And all three models agree within 100km. ACCESS G has it a little closer and a little further South.


The bottom 3 images  (ECMWF, GFS, ACCESS G) represent the extent to the 4 day forecast which we can say is reliable. Again if you want to venture into the wild world of cyclone guidance then head to the pulse 2 blog. https://www.wallysweather.com.au/post/monsoon-pulse-2



Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G


Saturday, 1st March

Well folks, it seems like those areas known for their Central Highlands and Coalfields, Darling Downs and Granite Belt, Central West, and Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders are in for some high fire danger. So, it might be a good time to brush up on your fire safety knowledge and maybe refrain from lighting any unnecessary bonfires or fireworks. Just a friendly reminder to avoid turning those regions into literal hot spots. Stay safe out there!

Sunday, 2nd March

Get ready to dodge some showers along the central and southeast coasts, with the added bonus of widespread wetness on K'gari. If you're lucky enough to be in Torres Strait, you might just get a sprinkle or two. Everywhere else, enjoy the mostly sunny skies while you can. Just beware of hazardous surf conditions south of Seventeen Seventy - don't want any accidental Baywatch moments. And if you're feeling the heat, you're not alone. Maximum temperatures are soaring above average in the west and southern interior. But hey, at least you're not in the far west or northwest, where severe heatwave conditions are in full swing. Stay cool, folks.

Monday, 3rd March

Well, it seems like some parts of the southeast will be getting a little wet, while the coast is in for a good soaking. Watch out for isolated showers and thunderstorms in the Gulf Country and Torres Strait - it's like playing weather roulette out there. Everywhere else, expect mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will be pretty normal in the southeast, a bit above average along the east coast, and scorching everywhere else. If you're in the northern interior, prepare to sweat it out in a severe heatwave, with some spots reaching extreme levels of hotness. Stay cool, folks!

Tuesday, 4th March

Grab your umbrella if you're in the southeast, because scattered to widespread showers are on the menu. If you're on the central and northern coasts, you may only need a tiny one for those isolated showers. And watch out for isolated showers and thunderstorms if you're hanging out on the coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria. If you prefer sunshine, you're in luck elsewhere. Maximum temperatures will be near average in the southeast and along the east coast, but prepare to sweat in the northwest where temperatures will be well above average. As for the rest of us, we can expect above average temperatures. Oh, and if you're in the northwest, be prepared for some severe to locally extreme heatwave conditions. Stay cool out there!

Region Round-up - BOM

Forecast for North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:

Well, looks like we've got another scorching day ahead of us, folks. Light winds will be playing peek-a-boo, starting from the east and then switching to the southeast at 15 to 20 km/h. By the late afternoon, they'll be taking a nap. Overnight, temperatures will be dropping to a balmy 16 to 21 degrees, while daytime highs will be hitting the low 30s. Don't forget your sunscreen, because the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 [Extreme] from 8:30am to 4:20pm. It's a good day to stay inside and binge-watch your favorite shows.

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Cairns

☀️

21

32

Sunny.

Atherton

☀️

16

29

Sunny.

Cooktown

☀️

23

33

Sunny.

Innisfail

☀️

21

32

Sunny.

Mareeba

☀️

17

33

Sunny.

Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:

Well, looks like we've got some sunshine coming our way today. Expect light winds that will eventually switch to southeasterly at about 15 to 20 km/h, then taper off in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 17 to 21 degrees, while daytime highs will hit the low to mid 30s. You'll definitely need some sun protection from 8:30am to 4:10pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 12 [Extreme]. So, grab your sunscreen and shades, folks!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Townsville

☀️

23

33

Sunny.

Ayr

☀️

21

35

Sunny.

Ingham

☀️

20

33

Sunny.

Forecast for Central Coast and Whitsundays:

Well, it looks like we've got some light winds heading our way, so hold onto your hats! Temperatures will be dropping overnight, so snuggle up with a good book. Daytime temps will be in the low to mid 30s, so get ready to sweat it out. Don't forget your sunscreen, folks, because that UV index is predicted to reach an extreme 13. Mother Nature is really cranking up the heat today!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Mackay

☀️

21

31

Sunny.

Bowen

☀️

22

33

Sunny.

Forecast for Peninsula:

Looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today, with a slight chance of a shower up north in Coen. But don't worry folks, the rest of us can enjoy near zero chance of rain. Light winds will keep us company as we endure overnight temperatures in the low to mid 20s. Daytime temperatures will be hitting the low to mid 30s, so make sure to slap on that sunscreen between 8:50am to 4:40pm. The UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 14, so get ready to fry out there.

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Weipa

🌧

23

33

Possible shower.

Coen

23

32

Partly cloudy.

Palmerville

21

34

Mostly sunny.

Thursday Island

☀️

25

31

Sunny.

Forecast for Gulf Country:

Grab your sunscreen and sunglasses, folks! It's going to be mostly sunny today with a slight chance of a shower near the east coast - but let's be real, the rest of us probably won't see a drop of rain. Light winds will start off the day, but will pick up to a breezy northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h. Don't worry, they'll calm down by the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, so you might want to crack a window for some relief. Daytime temperatures will be scorching, reaching 35 to 40 degrees. Make sure to stay hydrated and find some shade if you can - we don't need any heatstroke casualties today. Remember, sun protection is key from 8:50am to 4:40pm. The UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13, so be prepared for some extreme sun exposure. Stay safe out there!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Normanton

☀️

24

37

Sunny.

Burketown

☀️

23

38

Sunny.

Doomadgee

☀️

23

39

Sunny.

Kowanyama

24

34

Partly cloudy.

Forecast for Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:

Well, it seems like we've got a classic case of "sunny with a chance of sunburn" on our hands. Light winds in the morning will eventually give way to a breezier afternoon, so hold onto your hats (literally). Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 18 to 22 degrees, making it the perfect weather for either sweating profusely in your sleep or cranking up the AC. Daytime temperatures will reach a scorching 33 to 39 degrees, so make sure to slather on that SPF like your life depends on it. With a UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 13 (Extreme), you might want to consider wearing a hazmat suit just to be safe. Stay cool out there, folks!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Charters Towers

☀️

19

34

Sunny.

Georgetown

☀️

20

36

Sunny.

Forecast for Capricornia:

Looks like we've got some clouds hanging around today, with a slim chance of a shower popping up later on. The winds will be blowing from the southeast at a decent clip of 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight, it'll cool down to a mild 17 to 21 degrees, but during the day we're looking at scorching temperatures of 32 to 37 degrees. Make sure to slap on that sunblock between 8:20am and 4:00pm, as the UV index is predicted to hit a whopping 12 - that's extreme, folks. Protect yourselves accordingly!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Gladstone

🌧

22

33

Possible shower.

Rockhampton

21

34

Partly cloudy.

Biloela

18

36

Mostly sunny.

Yeppoon

🌧

23

31

Possible shower.

Forecast for Central Highlands and Coalfields:

Looks like it's going to be another scorcher out there, folks. Light winds will start the day before picking up to a breezy southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h. Temperatures will drop overnight to a balmy 18 to 21 degrees, with daytime highs hitting the low to high 30s. Make sure to slap on the sunscreen between 8:20am and 4:10pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 [Extreme]. Stay cool out there!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Emerald

☀️

21

37

Sunny.

Clermont

☀️

20

35

Sunny.

Moranbah

☀️

19

33

Sunny.

Forecast for Central West:

Well, it looks like we're in for a scorcher today, folks. Expect some sunshine with a side of easterly winds in the morning, lightening up before the crack of dawn. By midday, those winds will switch gears to southeasterly and pick up speed, so hold onto your hats. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, but don't get too comfortable because daytime temperatures will be hitting around 40 degrees. Make sure to slather on that sunscreen between 8:40am and 4:30pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a scorching 13 - that's Extreme, in case you were wondering. Stay cool out there, folks!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Longreach

☀️

23

41

Sunny.

Barcaldine

☀️

22

40

Sunny.

Winton

☀️

23

41

Sunny.

Forecast for North West:

Well, looks like we're in for a scorcher today. Expect light winds in the morning, shifting to a delightful east to southeasterly breeze by afternoon. Just when you think it couldn't get any better, the winds will calm down in the evening for a peaceful night. Overnight temperatures will dip into the low to mid 20s, giving us a chance to actually catch some Z's. But don't get too comfortable, because daytime temperatures will be reaching the low 40s. Make sure to lather on that sunscreen from 8:50am to 4:50pm, as the UV Index is predicted to hit a whopping 14 (that's extreme, folks). Stay cool out there!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Mount Isa

☀️

23

40

Sunny.

Forecast for Channel Country:

Ah, looks like we've got some sunshine coming our way today. Winds will be doing a little dance from northeast to southeasterly at 20 to 30 km/h, then deciding to switch things up to northwest to northeasterly in the morning. By early afternoon, they'll settle down to a gentle southeasterly breeze at 15 to 20 km/h. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 25 to 30 degrees, with daytime highs reaching the scorching low to mid 40s. So make sure to slap on some moderate sun protection from 8:50am to 4:50pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 (that's extreme, folks). Time to break out the sunscreen and stay cool out there!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Birdsville

☀️

30

46

Sunny.

Thargomindah

☀️

30

43

Sunny.

Forecast for Maranoa and Warrego:

Well folks, it looks like we've got a mostly sunny day ahead of us, with some sneaky winds coming in from the east to northeast at 15 to 20 km/h, then doing a quick switch to southeasterly at 20 to 30 km/h in the early morning. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 20 to 27 degrees, but don't worry, we'll be roasting in the daytime with temperatures soaring to 37 to 42 degrees. Make sure you slap on that sunscreen between 8:20am and 4:10pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 12 [Extreme]. Mother nature sure knows how to turn up the heat, doesn't she? Stay cool out there, folks!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Charleville

☀️

23

40

Sunny.

Roma

☀️

21

38

Sunny.

St George

☀️

22

38

Sunny.

Cunnamulla

26

42

Partly cloudy.

Forecast for Darling Downs and Granite Belt:

Hope you've got your sunscreen handy, because it's going to be a scorcher out there today. With winds coming in from the northeast to southeasterly at 20 to 30 km/h, you might want to hold onto your hat. Overnight, temperatures will dip down to a balmy 17 to 22 degrees, but don't get too comfortable because daytime temperatures are expected to reach a sweltering 32 to 38 degrees. Make sure to slap on that sun protection from 8:10am to 3:50pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a blistering 12 [Extreme]. So, stay cool out there and try not to melt in the heat!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Dalby

☀️

17

33

Sunny.

Goondiwindi

☀️

21

38

Sunny.

Toowoomba

☀️

17

29

Sunny.

Warwick

☀️

16

32

Sunny.

Stanthorpe

☀️

16

28

Sunny.

Forecast for Wide Bay and Burnett:

Prepare yourselves for some classic Aussie weather - partly cloudy skies with a high chance of showers hugging the coast. The wind will be blowing from the southeast at a pretty brisk pace of 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 17 to 22 degrees, while during the day, things will heat up to a toasty 29 to 35 degrees. If you're planning on hitting the beach, be aware that the surf is going to be big and powerful - not exactly ideal for a leisurely swim or a relaxing surf session. So maybe stick to building sandcastles instead. And don't forget your sunscreen - the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 12, which falls under the category of "Extreme". So, slap on that SPF and enjoy the sunshine responsibly!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Bundaberg

🌧

22

31

Shower or two.

Gympie

🌧

20

30

Shower or two.

Hervey Bay

🌧

23

30

Showers.

Kingaroy

17

30

Partly cloudy.

Maryborough

🌧

22

31

Showers.

Gayndah

18

34

Partly cloudy.

Forecast for Southeast Coast:

Looks like we've got a mix of clouds and a chance of showers today, mostly up north but a little sprinkle might hit elsewhere. Winds will be blowing from the south to southeasterly, then shifting to the east to southeasterly in the morning and early afternoon. Overnight, temperatures will cool down to between 16 and 22 degrees, while daytime highs will hover around 30. And if you're planning on hitting the beach, be cautious of the large and powerful surf conditions that could make swimming, surfing, or rock fishing a bit risky. Don't forget to slap on some sunscreen between 8:10am and 3:40pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 11 (Extreme). Stay safe out there, folks!

Location

Icon

Min Temp (°C)

Max Temp (°C)

Description

Beaudesert

17

32

Mostly sunny.

Brisbane

21

31

Partly cloudy.

Gatton

18

34

Mostly sunny.

Ipswich

18

33

Partly cloudy.

Logan Central

19

31

Partly cloudy.

Maroochydore

🌧

22

29

Showers.

Redcliffe

🌧

23

29

Shower or two.

Surfers Paradise

🌧

20

30

Possible shower.


We run on positivity and our output is education for your peace of mind. Wally also runs on coffee so shout him a coffee today, just for for $5 each year, or one each month for a year for $55 https://wallysweather.com.au/community 


National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)

State maps by Windy (Windy.com)

Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)

Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )


Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.


 
 
 

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