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Storms special report
Troughs spanning the tropics and eastern inland regions will bring showers, rain, and storms to the Northern Territory, Queensland, New South Wales, South Australia's east, Victoria's west, and Western Australia's north. A lingering trough in the west, gaining moisture, will trigger showers and storms while sustaining heat in western WA. QLD again looks like a pizza on the thunderstorm map. Still a gap near the Herbert and Lower Burdekin. But showers more likely now over the next few days. And the trough will eventually shift over the coast, probably by the 3rd or 4th of December.
Weather Warnings:
Sheep Graziers Warning for Lower Eyre Peninsula and Yorke Peninsula.
Downy Mildew Advice for Mid North, Mount Lofty Ranges, Riverland, Murraylands, and Upper South East.
Gale Warning for Leeuwin, Albany, and Esperance coasts.
Strong Wind Warning East of Flinders Is & Far NW, Upper E & CW coasts. Cancelled Banks St & Franklin Sound, Storm & Lower E & South E Coasts.
Moderate Flood Warning For The Moonie River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Wallam Creek.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Wallam Creek.
ECMWF Storm 4pm | ECMWF Accumulated Rain 3 Days | ACCESS QLD 8 x 24 hour Rainfall
National
Tasman Sea's high brings humid air to Queensland. Moisture remains above average for a few days. Upper troughs enhance shower and thunderstorm activity in the state. Low pressure system moves through New South Wales, pushing a trough into southwestern Queensland. Trough may reach southeast Queensland later in the week and become slow-moving over southern and western parts.
State
A high over the Tasman Sea is bringing humid air into a trough over western Queensland.
This will continue for a few days, keeping moisture levels above average. Meanwhile, upper troughs will cause increased rain and thunderstorms across southern Australia, moving towards the east coast by Tuesday. A developing low pressure system will move across southern Australia into New South Wales, pushing a trough over southwestern Queensland. The trough may reach southeast Queensland by late Wednesday or Thursday and potentially linger over southern and western Queensland on Friday and next weekend.
4-day
Monday: Possible scattered showers and thunderstorms across inland Queensland, becoming more widespread in central and northwest districts. Isolated showers along the east coast with potential thunderstorms in inland southeastern Queensland, becoming scattered north of St Lawrence. Potential for severe thunderstorms in the central and southern interior. Winds shifting from northwest to northeasterly, veering easterly around the Peninsula, and variable across the interior.
Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms across southern Queensland with widespread rain in central eastern areas. Severe thunderstorms possible in the far south. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the far west and northern Peninsula. Temperatures below average in central, northwest and southeast regions, above average in the far southwest and northern Peninsula.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in some areas, becoming widespread in southeastern Queensland. Potential for severe thunderstorms in certain regions. Mostly sunny in the far southwest. Above average temperatures in the east and the Peninsula. Very warm, dry, and gusty winds in the southern interior.
Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in southeast, central, and northern districts. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in far southwest. Mostly sunny in southern interior. Above average maximum temperatures in east, well above average in southeast and Capricornia. Very warm, dry westerly winds in southeast inland and southern interior.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Daytime: 27-34°C, Overnight: 18-23°C, Winds: Light, becoming E to NE 15-20 km/h midday, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin (Townsville):
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: Low 20s°C, Winds: Light, becoming NE 15-20 km/h midday, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: 19-22°C, Winds: Light, becoming NE 15-20 km/h midday, turning light in the late evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of late morning and afternoon showers, chance of thunderstorm.
Peninsula:
Daytime: 33-38°C, Overnight: Low to mid 20s°C, Winds: Light, becoming E to NE 15-25 km/h in the morning, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, slight chance of afternoon/evening shower south of Coen, near zero chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm.
Gulf Country:
Daytime: Low to mid 30s°C, Overnight: Low to mid 20s°C, Winds: Light, becoming N to NW 15-25 km/h midday, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Daytime: 27-32°C, Overnight: Low 20s°C, Winds: N to NE 15-20 km/h, becoming NW in the middle of the day, then turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, very high chance of showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
Capricornia:
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: 17-21°C, Winds: Light, becoming NE 15-20 km/h early afternoon, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of late morning showers, chance of thunderstorm.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Daytime: Mid to high 20s°C, Overnight: 18-21°C, Winds: Light. Cloudy, very high chance of late morning showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
Central West:
Daytime: 27-33°C, Overnight: 19-23°C, Winds: NE 15-20 km/h, becoming N in the morning, then turning light in the middle of the day. Partly cloudy, high chance of late morning showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
North West:
Daytime: Low 30s°C, Overnight: Low 20s°C, Winds: Light, becoming N to NW 15-20 km/h in the morning, then turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, high chance of afternoon and evening showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm.
Channel Country:
Daytime: Mid to high 30s°C, Overnight: Low to mid 20s°C, Winds: NE 15-25 km/h, becoming NW to NE 20-30 km/h in the morning, then shifting to NE 15-25 km/h in the evening. Partly cloudy, slight chance of afternoon/evening shower, chance of thunderstorm.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Daytime: Low to mid 30s°C, Overnight: 18-22°C, Winds: Light, becoming N to NE 15-20 km/h before dawn, then shifting to E to NE in the early afternoon. Partly cloudy, medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm from late morning.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: 16-19°C, Winds: Light. Partly cloudy, slight chance of late morning shower, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm from late morning.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: Around 18°C, Winds: Light, becoming NE 15-20 km/h in the early afternoon, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, medium chance of inland showers, slight chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm from late morning.
Southeast Coast:
Daytime: Around 30°C, Overnight: 16-19°C, Winds: Light, becoming N to NE 15-25 km/h midday, turning light in the evening. Partly cloudy, medium chance of afternoon and evening showers, chance of possibly severe thunderstorm from late morning.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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