Energised Daily Forecast - Feb 16 - Wally's Weather Australia

Feb 1514 min read

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Four Day Forecast | QLD Region and City Round-Up

National Synoptic Situation

National Temperature and Rainfall

Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.

State conditions

QLD:

So, there's this trough meandering its way east across southeastern, central, and northern Queensland. It's like a stubborn houseguest who just won't leave until Sunday when it finally decides to move off the east coast. Then, a ridge will pop up over eastern Queensland on Monday and stick around for a while, like that one friend who always overstays their welcome. The northern part of the trough will lazily drift west on Monday and hang out in western Queensland for a bit, possibly leaving the state late next week when a high rolls into the Tasman Sea. It's like a game of musical chairs, but with weather systems.

NSW and ACT:

Well, it seems a trough and a southerly change are making their way up the northern coast, aiming to hit the border by Sunday morning. Following this change, a high pressure system is set to cross Bass Strait, spreading a ridge across the state and bringing some stability to our weather early next week. So, get ready for some calm and predictable conditions ahead!

VIC:

Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit bossy with that high pressure system hanging out south of the Bight, extending its reach over Victoria. This means we can expect some cool breezes coming in from the southwest. Don't worry, though, because that ridge will be sticking around for the weekend and into early next week, keeping things steady. Just make sure to grab a jacket before heading out!

SA:

So, we've got a high pressure system chilling over the waters down south, extending its reach over South Australia like a boss. This bad boy is gonna slowly make its way east over the weekend and into next week, while a low pressure trough out west creeps its way towards SA. Mid-week, the trough will start to lose its mojo and another high pressure system will come waltzing in from the south. But hold onto your hats, because next weekend we've got a cold front and trough barrelling in from the west. So, buckle up and prepare for some weather shenanigans ahead!

WA:

Well, it looks like Ex-Tropical Cyclone Zelia is losing its mojo as it saunters through the Pilbara and northeast Gascoyne regions. There's a fancy-sounding low-pressure trough stretching from Ex-Zelia all the way across the Kimberley. Mother Nature must be feeling dramatic today!

TAS:

Get ready to say goodbye to the cool southerly airstream over Tasmania on Sunday as a high pressure system waltzes in from the west to take its place. Unfortunately, this high pressure will start to lose its mojo by Monday, giving way to a cold front that's set to crash the party early Tuesday. As if that weren't enough drama for one week, a southwesterly stream is expected to make its grand entrance on Tuesday, sticking around until Wednesday. But fear not, for a high pressure system will be waiting in the wings to bring some stability back to the scene, building up south of the Bight. It's like a soap opera playing out in the skies above Tasmania, with Mother Nature pulling the strings and keeping us all on our toes. So grab your umbrellas and brace yourselves for a rollercoaster ride of weather patterns this week.

NT:

Get ready for some wet weather up in the Top End as the monsoon decides to make a grand appearance. But don't worry, it's not here to stay - it'll be packing up and heading out to the west and north coasts soon enough. Southern NT is in for a treat with cooler temperatures and some scattered rain thanks to a cloud band and southerly winds. But don't get too comfortable because that cloud band will be weakening on Saturday. And if you're in southeastern NT, you can expect some drier weather as a ridge directs southeasterly winds your way. So grab your umbrella, sunscreen, and a jacket - you never know what Mother Nature has in store for us next!

National Weather Warnings

National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook

Four Day Forecasts

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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G)

Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G

Sunday, 16th February

Hope you've been practicing your stop, drop, and roll because the central and southern interior are serving up some high fire danger today. Time to break out the fire extinguishers and brush up on those evacuation routes - it's about to get lit.

Monday, 17th February

Grab your raincoat if you're heading north of Mackay, because isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are on the menu. Don't forget your umbrella for those isolated showers in the far eastern districts south of Mackay. But fear not, for the rest of us will bask in mostly sunny conditions. If you're in southern Queensland, prepare for below average temperatures and less humid, breezy weather in the southeast. Meanwhile, folks in the northeast between Cooktown and Cardwell, as well as in the northwest, can expect above average temperatures. But don't worry, the severe heatwave conditions in the northeast are finally starting to ease up. It's a mixed bag out there, so dress accordingly and stay weather-wise!

Tuesday, 18th February

Grab your umbrella if you're hanging out north of Hughenden, because there might be a few scattered showers and thunderstorms trying to ruin your day. Over in the eastern districts, you might get lucky with some isolated showers to keep you on your toes. Meanwhile, the western and southern interior will be shining bright like a diamond with mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will be feeling themselves with above average highs in the northwest, while the south will be slightly below average - just to keep things interesting. Time to break out your weather-appropriate wardrobe, folks!

Wednesday, 19th February

Grab your umbrella if you're heading north of Hughenden - there's a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. In the east, you might encounter a stray shower or two. But fear not, the western and southern interior will be mostly sunny - perfect weather for a picnic or a stroll. Temperatures will be soaring above average in the northwest, while the rest of us will be chilling at near-average levels. So, pack your sunscreen and your raincoat - it's going to be an interesting day!

Region Round-up - BOM

North Tropical Coast and Tablelands

Region Forecast: Looks like we're in for a classic mix of sunshine and rain today. Keep an umbrella handy, especially around late morning and afternoon when showers are most likely to make an appearance. There's even a chance of a thunderstorm for some extra excitement! Don't worry too much about strong winds ruining your hairdo - it'll be a light breeze at most. As the day turns into night, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, so you might want to grab a light blanket before hitting the hay. Daytime temperatures will reach the low to mid 30s, so remember to stay hydrated and maybe even break out the sunscreen. Stay cool, folks!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Cairns	🌧	25	35	Possible shower.
Atherton	🌧	21	32	Shower or two.
Cooktown	🌧	24	35	Shower or two.
Innisfail	⛅	25	35	Partly cloudy.
Mareeba	🌧	23	34	Shower or two.

Herbert and Lower Burdekin

Region Forecast: Well, looks like we've got some sunshine and gentle breezes coming our way. Keep your pajamas handy because it's going to cool down to the low to mid 20s overnight. As for daytime, expect temperatures to climb into the mid to high 30s. Time to break out the sunscreen and maybe invest in a portable fan!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Townsville	☀️	25	36	Sunny.
Ayr	⛅	25	35	Mostly sunny.
Ingham	☀️	25	36	Sunny.

Central Coast and Whitsundays

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a classic case of mostly sunny skies with a teeny tiny chance of a shower. Don't get too excited though, because we've got some light winds coming our way. Overnight, it's going to cool down to the low to mid 20s, but don't worry, daytime temperatures will be heating up to a toasty 31 to 36 degrees. So, grab your sunscreen and stay hydrated, because it's going to be a scorcher out there!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Mackay	⛅	24	32	Mostly sunny.
Bowen	⛅	25	33	Partly cloudy.

Peninsula

Region Forecast: Grab your umbrella and sunscreen, folks! Mother Nature is feeling a bit moody today, with a high chance of showers and even a potential thunderstorm. Don't let the light winds fool you, it's still going to be a scorcher out there with temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s. So be prepared for some wet and wild weather, but don't forget to stay hydrated and wear plenty of sunscreen to avoid looking like a lobster by the end of the day. Stay safe out there!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Weipa	🌧	24	31	Showers. Possible storm.
Coen	🌧	24	33	Shower or two. Possible storm.
Palmerville	🌧	24	32	Shower or two. Possible storm.
Thursday Island	🌧	25	31	Showers easing.

Gulf Country

Region Forecast: Grab your sunglasses and umbrella, folks! We've got a mixed bag of weather coming our way. Showers are expected up north, so you might want to pack a raincoat if you're heading that way. As for the rest of us, it's looking pretty dry. There's a tiny chance of a thunderstorm, so maybe stay indoors if you're feeling lucky. Winds will be light in the morning, then switch things up in the afternoon. Temperatures will be scorching hot during the day, so make sure to stay hydrated and maybe invest in some good air conditioning for the night.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Normanton	🌧	25	35	Possible storm.
Burketown	⛅	25	38	Partly cloudy.
Doomadgee	⛅	25	38	Partly cloudy.
Kowanyama	🌧	24	33	Showers. Possible storm.

Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders

Region Forecast: Well, it looks like we've got a classic case of "mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower" happening today. Don't get too excited though, because that chance of rain is pretty much non-existent everywhere except the north. And if you happen to be in the north, watch out for a possible thunderstorm creeping up on you in the late morning. As for the winds, they'll start off light and innocent in the morning, but by afternoon they'll be picking up speed and changing direction like a fickle lover. From southeast to southwesterly at 15 to 25 km/h, to just plain light and indecisive by the evening. And don't even think about escaping the heat tonight, because those overnight temperatures are going to stubbornly cling to the low 20s. Daytime temperatures, on the other hand, are going to soar to the mid to high 30s, making you wish you had invested in that portable air conditioner. So, folks, remember to dress accordingly, pack an umbrella just in case (if you're in the north), and brace yourself for another day of unpredictable weather courtesy of Mother Nature.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Charters Towers	☀️	23	36	Sunny.
Georgetown	⛅	23	35	Mostly sunny.

Capricornia

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a bit of a mixed bag today, folks. Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive, with mostly sunny skies but a slight chance of a shower near the coast in the early morning. Don't worry, though, the chances of rain anywhere else are practically non-existent. There's also a tiny chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning, just to keep things interesting. So, make sure you've got your umbrella handy, just in case. As for the winds, they'll start off light but will pick up to 15 to 25 km/h from the south in the morning. By evening, though, they'll calm down and be as light as a feather. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a comfortable 19 to 24 degrees, so you can snuggle up in bed without breaking a sweat. During the day, it'll be a bit warmer, with temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s. So, make sure you've got your sunscreen and a hat to stay cool and protected. All in all, it's shaping up to be a typical day in the weather department. So, grab your sunglasses and enjoy the sunshine while it lasts!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Gladstone	☀️	24	35	Sunny.
Rockhampton	☀️	24	34	Sunny.
Biloela	☀️	21	34	Sunny.
Yeppoon	☀️	25	33	Sunny.

Central Highlands and Coalfields

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a classic case of the sun shining and the winds blowing lightly, before deciding to switch things up and blow a bit stronger from the south. Then, just when you think you've got it all figured out, the winds decide to take a break and become as light as a feather in the evening. Don't get too comfortable though, because overnight temperatures are expected to drop to a range that might have you questioning whether you should turn on the heater or not. Daytime temperatures will then soar to a toasty 30 to 35 degrees, so don't forget to pack your sunscreen and stay hydrated. Mother nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Emerald	☀️	21	34	Sunny.
Clermont	☀️	22	34	Sunny.
Moranbah	☀️	23	33	Sunny.

Central West

Region Forecast: Grab your sunscreen and sunglasses, folks! Expect some breezy conditions with winds coming in from the south to southeasterly direction at a brisk 20 to 30 km/h. While the temperatures drop to the low to mid 20s overnight, be prepared for a scorching day ahead with highs ranging from 34 to 39 degrees. Time to break out the portable fan and ice packs!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Longreach	☀️	23	38	Sunny.
Barcaldine	☀️	22	36	Sunny.
Winton	⛅	23	39	Mostly sunny.

North West

Region Forecast: Prepare yourself for a day of mostly sunny skies with a touch of southerly winds at 15 to 25 km/h. By mid-morning, those winds will shift to the southeast at 20 to 30 km/h, only to calm down by the late evening. Expect overnight temperatures to dip to the low to mid 20s, while daytime highs soar to the high 30s. So grab your sunscreen and stay cool out there!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Mount Isa	⛅	24	39	Mostly sunny.

Channel Country

Region Forecast: Looks like it's going to be another scorcher out there, folks! Expect strong winds coming in from the south to southeasterly direction at speeds of 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight, it'll cool down to a balmy 19 to 22 degrees, but don't get too comfortable because daytime temperatures are set to soar between 31 to 37 degrees. So grab your sunscreen and stay hydrated, because it's going to be a hot one!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Birdsville	☀️	21	35	Sunny.
Thargomindah	☀️	19	32	Sunny.

Maranoa and Warrego

Region Forecast: Get ready to bask in the glorious warmth of the sun, with gentle southerly winds to keep things interesting. Temperatures will drop to a comfortable 16-19 overnight, but don't worry, you'll be back up to a toasty 30 during the day. Time to break out the sunscreen and shades, folks!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Charleville	☀️	18	31	Sunny.
Roma	☀️	17	30	Sunny.
St George	☀️	16	28	Sunny.
Cunnamulla	☀️	17	31	Sunny.

Darling Downs and Granite Belt

Region Forecast: Get ready to hold onto your hats, folks! Expect some breezy conditions as the winds shift from south to southwesterly throughout the day. Temperatures will be dropping overnight to a cool 17 degrees, so make sure to grab a sweater. Daytime highs will reach a balmy 30 degrees, so don't forget your sunscreen!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Dalby	☀️	17	30	Sunny.
Goondiwindi	☀️	17	29	Sunny.
Toowoomba	☀️	17	28	Sunny.
Warwick	☀️	17	31	Sunny.
Stanthorpe	☀️	16	27	Sunny.

Wide Bay and Burnett

Region Forecast: Expect a smidgen of sunshine with a sprinkle possibility near the coast, especially in the AM. Forget about rain anywhere else. Thunderstorms might make an appearance. Winds will be breezy in the morning, calming down by evening. Nighttime temps will drop to the late teens to low 20s, while daytime highs will hit the low to mid 30s.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Bundaberg	☀️	23	34	Sunny.
Gympie	☀️	21	34	Sunny.
Hervey Bay	☀️	23	33	Sunny.
Kingaroy	☀️	18	30	Sunny.
Maryborough	☀️	23	34	Sunny.
Gayndah	☀️	21	33	Sunny.

Southeast Coast

Region Forecast: Looks like you'll need to keep an eye out for a sneaky shower in the evening, possibly accompanied by a dramatic thunderstorm if you're near the coast. Light winds will start off the day before deciding to mix things up and become a bit stronger later on. Overnight, temperatures will cool down to a pleasant 19-22 degrees, while daytime temperatures will hit the low to mid 30s - so make sure to pack your sunscreen and a light jacket for those unexpected weather changes.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Beaudesert	⛅	21	34	Mostly sunny.
Brisbane	⛅	23	33	Partly cloudy.
Gatton	☀️	19	33	Sunny.
Ipswich	⛅	21	35	Mostly sunny.
Logan Central	⛅	21	32	Partly cloudy.
Maroochydore	🌧	22	32	Possible shower.
Redcliffe	⛅	23	31	Mostly sunny.
Surfers Paradise	⛅	21	30	Partly cloudy.

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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)

State maps by Windy (Windy.com)

Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)

Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )

AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)

Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)

Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.