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National Synoptic Situation
National Temperature and Rainfall
Rainย typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.
National Synoptic Situation
QLD:
Well, it looks like a trough is making its way over to central Australia, but don't worry, it's going to weaken in a day or two - just like my will to exercise. Meanwhile, a ridge in eastern Queensland is going to hang around for a bit, getting stronger on Friday as a high moves in. And let's not forget about that trough in the far northern Coral Sea - it's going to team up with the ridge to bring us some windy and showery weather along the east coast. Oh, and there's a tropical low hanging out in the Coral Sea too, but thankfully it's going to steer clear of us for now. So, grab your umbrella and hold onto your hats, folks - it's going to be a wild ride!
NSW and ACT:
Well, it seems like we've got some weather shenanigans happening near Hunter and the Mid North Coast, with a trough deciding to take a nap and let a high pressure ridge take over. Meanwhile, another trough is just hanging out in the far western inland, probably enjoying the peace and quiet. But wait, there's more excitement on the horizon! This weekend and early next week, a new trough is planning to crash the party in the southern and central areas of the state, bringing along a southerly wind change for added drama. And just when you thought things couldn't get any crazier, a high pressure system is set to make a grand entrance, gliding across Bass Strait and staking its claim in the southern Tasman Sea by Tuesday. It's going to extend a ridge across the east while the original trough continues to loiter in the west, probably causing some side-eye glances from the high pressure system. So, grab your umbrella and sunglasses, folks, because it looks like we're in for a wild ride of weather patterns and atmospheric theatrics. Stay tuned for the next episode of Weather Wars: Troughs, Ridges, and High Pressure Systems, coming soon to a sky near you!
VIC:
Looks like Mother Nature is playing a game of "follow the leader" with high pressure centers and cold fronts. Today and tomorrow, we'll be enjoying a nice northerly airstream, thanks to a pressure center chilling in the Tasman Sea. But hold onto your hats, folks! On Saturday, a trough and cold front are making their way from the west, ready to crash our party. The front will sweep across the state on Sunday, bringing with it some cooler air and a south to southwesterly airstream. So get ready to swap out those shorts for sweaters as we head into next week. Mother Nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!
SA:
Well, folks, it looks like we've got a high pressure system making itself comfy over the Tasman Sea. A trough and cold front are crashing the party in SA on Saturday, but they'll be taking their sweet time, stalling over the North East Pastoral district on Sunday. Meanwhile, another high pressure system is playing hide and seek southwest of Perth, but don't worry, it'll be making its way eastwards by early next week. So, get ready to break out those umbrellas and sunglasses, because it's going to be a rollercoaster of weather changes in the coming days!
WA:
Well, isn't that just peachy? We've got a broad trough hanging out over inland northern parts of the State, like it's on a leisurely vacation. Meanwhile, a tropical low (21U) is lurking to the northwest of the Kimberley, just waiting to make its grand entrance. Watch out, folks, this system might throw itself a little tropical cyclone party over the weekend, but don't worry, it's polite enough to stay well offshore from the WA coast. So, grab your swimsuits and sunscreen, because it's going to be a wild ride...from a safe distance, of course.
TAS:
So, it looks like Tasmania is in for a rollercoaster of weather this weekend. We've got a high ridging over us right now, but it's packing up and heading to the Tasman Sea tonight. Expect some northerly winds on Saturday as we brace ourselves for an approaching cold front on Sunday. But don't worry, another high will swoop in on Sunday and stick around until Monday. So get ready for some more changes as that high moves over us late Monday into Tuesday. Mother Nature just can't make up her mind, can she?
NT:
Well, buckle up folks, because a ridge over southern NT is about to throw in the towel in preparation for a trough that's ready to throw some shade on southern districts this weekend. But fear not, another ridge is waiting in the wings over southwestern NT, ready to swoop in and extend its reach into central districts starting early next week. It's like a game of meteorological musical chairs out there, so make sure you've got your weather app handy to stay one step ahead of the ridge-trough dance-off.
National Weather Warnings
New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
No warnings available at this time for Northern Territory.
National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook
Four Day Forecasts
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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G)
Monsoon Update
Tropical low (22U/93P) is currently located about 229 nautical miles northeast of Cairns, Australia, at 14.2S 148.6W. Satellite images show a developing low-level circulation with increased cloud activity to the northeast. Conditions are moderate for further development, with wind shear around 15-20 knots, weak upper-level outflow, and warm sea temperatures of 29-30ยฐC. Models agree that the system will track southeast over the next 24 to 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 23 to 28 knots, with a minimum pressure of 1002 mb. The chance of it becoming a significant tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours is moderate.
There is some wild movement in the GFS forecast and that is normal for that, hints to how to read the forecasts:
GFS: Great for 12 to 16 days out to get an idea of what is ahead, GFS picked this system earlier than the others.
ECMWF: Accurate within 4 days, 5 to 8 is better than most, 8 to 12 it tends to hedge it's bets.
ACCESS-G: Reasonably good within 4 days.
ACCESS-C: Has performed the best within 48 hours, but we don't have the range in Windy to see it at it's best, use Meteye for ACCESS C, however I have found during competition it has been a bit inconsistent depending on the latitude. However it is near useless with offshore systems. The other interactive map is ACCESS G, it is useful, but not as easy to use as Windy.com (http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml)
US NAVY: (JTWC) Once they start up their modeling they are hard to beat. Not perfect but they track cyclones in our region really well.
So with the wild movement I would not put any faith in GFS until about the 26th, ECMWF is probably the one to follow right at the moment, then ACCESS-G both on Windy. Some have access to better detail in ECMWF, I am not earning enough in Wally's Weather to afford that yet. So if you would like to help get yourself a Big Shout.
Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G
Saturday, 22nd February
Looks like we've got a mix of sunshine and showers scattered throughout the region today. You might want to grab your umbrella if you're heading out, especially if you're up north near Burketown or Coen where there could be some thunderstorms. And if you're thinking of taking a trip along the east coast north of Bowen, be prepared for some potentially heavy rain. Don't forget your raincoat! For those of you down south of Cooktown, hold onto your hats because there will be some fresh to strong southeasterly winds blowing through. And if you're wondering about temperatures, it'll be a bit warmer in the west and Peninsula regions, but slightly cooler in the east. So, dress accordingly and stay dry out there, folks!
Sunday, 23rd February
Grab your sunscreen and shades, folks! It's mostly sunny down south near Hughenden, but don't let that fool you - scattered showers are lurking in other areas, with a chance of isolated thunderstorms up north by Cairns. Keep an eye out for those showers turning into full-on downpours around the Wet Tropics. And hold onto your hats, because those southeasterly winds might just blow them away. Temperatures are soaring out west, while staying cool and collected out east. Stay prepared for whatever weather comes your way!
Monday, 24th February
Grab your sunscreen and sunglasses if you're heading to the interior south of Hughenden - it's mostly sunny there. For the rest of us, expect some isolated to scattered showers, with a chance of isolated thunderstorms north of Cooktown to Kowanyama. Showers may even become widespread at times north of Cairns to Weipa. Don't forget to hold onto your hats, as fresh to strong southeasterly winds will be blowing along the east coast. Maximum temperatures will be soaring well above average in the west, above average in the remaining interior, and just near or slightly below average elsewhere. It's like Mother Nature can't make up her mind today!
Tuesday, 25th February
Well, it seems like Hughenden in the interior south will be basking in mostly sunny weather, while the southwest will be trying to make up its mind with some occasional clouds. Expect some isolated to scattered showers in other areas, with a sprinkle of isolated thunderstorms up north. Showers might decide to throw a party along the east coast later on. Don't be surprised if you feel like you're being blown away by some fresh to strong southeasterly winds along the coast. As for temperatures, the west will be feeling hot, hot, hot, while the interior will be comfortably warm. Everywhere else, you might want to grab a light jacket just in case.
Region Round-up - BOM
Forecast for North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Looks like we're in for a mix of sun and clouds today. Keep an eye out for showers if you're hanging out along the coast, but don't worry too much if you're inland - the chance of rain is pretty slim. The wind will be coming from the southeast at a moderate 15 to 25 km/h, so hold onto your hats if you're headed out!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Cairns | ๐ง | 24 | 30 | Showers. |
Atherton | ๐ง | 19 | 25 | Showers. |
Cooktown | ๐ง | 24 | 32 | Showers. Possible storm. |
Innisfail | ๐ง | 24 | 29 | Showers. |
Mareeba | ๐ง | 22 | 29 | Showers. |
Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
So, it seems like we'll have a bit of clear skies with a tiny chance of a surprise shower. Don't be fooled by those east to southeasterly winds blowing at a modest 15 to 25 km/h, they might just mess up your hairdo.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Townsville | ๐ง | 24 | 31 | Showers. |
Ayr | ๐ง | 23 | 31 | Showers. |
Ingham | ๐ง | 23 | 29 | Showers. |
Forecast for Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Looks like we've got some clouds rolling in, with a medium chance of showers hugging the coast and a slight chance of rain elsewhere. You might want to hold onto your hats with those southeasterly winds blowing at 25 to 35 km/h. Don't forget your umbrella, just in case Mother Nature decides to have a little bit of fun with us today.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Mackay | ๐ง | 23 | 29 | Showers. |
Bowen | ๐ง | 24 | 30 | Shower or two. |
Forecast for Peninsula:
Well, it seems like we've got mostly clear skies on the horizon, with just a teensy-weensy chance of a shower creeping in. And hey, there's also a possibility of a thunderstorm making an appearance, so that should be fun. Don't forget about those south to southeasterly winds, blowing at a leisurely 15 to 20 km/h before calming down in the evening. So whether you're out and about or just lounging at home, make sure to keep an eye on the weather and maybe bring an umbrella โ just in case.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Weipa | ๐ง | 23 | 32 | Shower or two. |
Coen | ๐ง | 23 | 34 | Shower or two. |
Palmerville | ๐ง | 23 | 32 | Showers. Possible storm. |
Thursday Island | ๐ง | 24 | 30 | Shower or two. |
Forecast for Gulf Country:
Well, looks like we've got ourselves a mostly clear day ahead, folks. There's a teeny tiny chance of a shower out west, but basically zero chance anywhere else. Keep an eye out for thunderstorms, just to keep things interesting. And hey, at least the winds will be light - no need to worry about your hair getting messed up today.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Normanton | โ | 25 | 35 | Mostly sunny. |
Burketown | โ๏ธ | 24 | 35 | Sunny. |
Doomadgee | โ๏ธ | 24 | 36 | Sunny. |
Kowanyama | ๐ง | 24 | 35 | Sunny morning. Shower or two. |
Forecast for Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Looks like the winds will be blowing from the east to southeast at a moderate speed of 20 to 30 km/h, but don't worry, they'll ease up to a more manageable 15 to 20 km/h by evening. So, hold onto your hats, but not too tightly.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Charters Towers | ๐ง | 22 | 32 | Shower or two. |
Georgetown | โ | 22 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Capricornia:
Grab your umbrella if you're planning a beach day, but don't bother if you're anywhere else. Winds will be like a fickle lover, starting strong but gradually losing interest by the evening.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Gladstone | ๐ฉ | 23 | 31 | Becoming windy. Sunny. |
Rockhampton | โ | 23 | 32 | Mostly sunny. |
Biloela | โ | 18 | 35 | Mostly sunny. |
Yeppoon | ๐ง | 25 | 29 | Possible shower. Windy. |
Forecast for Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Today's weather report: Just a heads up, there's a teeny tiny possibility of a sprinkle in the northeast tonight. But don't hold your breath for rain anywhere else - we're talking near zero chance. The wind will be blowing from the east at a pretty decent 20 to 30 km/h, but don't worry, it'll calm down to a gentle 15 to 20 km/h later on. So basically, it's smooth sailing with a chance of a light mist in one specific area. Happy weather watching!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Emerald | โ | 20 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Clermont | โ | 20 | 32 | Partly cloudy. |
Moranbah | ๐ง | 20 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Forecast for Central West:
Well, it looks like we're in for a scorcher today, folks! Mother Nature is turning up the heat with easterly winds blowing at 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight, you can expect temperatures to drop to the low to mid 20s, so don't forget to crack a window for some nighttime breeze. Daytime temperatures will be sizzling, reaching a toasty 33 to 38 degrees. Make sure to slap on that sunscreen, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13, which is labeled as "Extreme" on the protection scale. Sun protection hours are from 8:40am to 4:40pm, so be sure to seek shade or wear a hat if you plan on being outdoors during those times. Stay cool out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Longreach | โ๏ธ | 22 | 37 | Sunny. |
Barcaldine | โ๏ธ | 21 | 35 | Sunny. |
Winton | โ๏ธ | 23 | 38 | Sunny. |
Forecast for North West:
Grab your umbrella, folks, because there's a teensy-weensy chance of a shower this evening. And if you're feeling lucky, you might even get a thunderstorm to shake things up. Hold onto your hats as the winds playfully switch directions between east and northeast at 15 to 25 km/h. So get ready for a wild ride!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Mount Isa | โ๏ธ | 23 | 38 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Channel Country:
Prepare yourself for a sunny day with a side of raised dust near the New South Wales border later on. Winds will be blowing from the northeast at 25 to 35 km/h, then switching to the east at 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the mid to high 20s, while daytime temperatures will soar to around 40 degrees. Make sure to slather on that sunscreen from 8:50am to 4:50pm, as the UV Index is expected to reach a staggering 13 (Extreme). Don't say we didn't warn you!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Birdsville | โ๏ธ | 29 | 42 | Sunny. |
Thargomindah | โ๏ธ | 27 | 39 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Maranoa and Warrego:
Well, it looks like we've got ourselves a classic case of sunny with a chance of sunscreen. Expect some breezy conditions with winds coming from the northeast, shifting to the east by morning. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 17 to 24 degrees, while daytime highs will reach the scorching low to high 30s. Better slap on that sun protection from 8:20am to 4:10pm, because the UV Index is predicted to hit a whopping 12 (Extreme). Mother nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Charleville | โ๏ธ | 21 | 35 | Sunny. |
Roma | โ | 18 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
St George | โ๏ธ | 19 | 33 | Sunny. |
Cunnamulla | โ๏ธ | 23 | 37 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Looks like Mother Nature is giving the Granite Belt a slight chance of a shower today, but don't get your hopes up anywhere else. You can expect some easterly winds blowing at 20 to 30 km/h, so hold onto your hats. Just be glad the wind will calm down to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening - you wouldn't want to be blown away on your way to dinner.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Dalby | โ | 17 | 31 | Mostly sunny. |
Goondiwindi | โ | 19 | 34 | Partly cloudy. |
Toowoomba | โ | 17 | 27 | Partly cloudy. |
Warwick | โ | 17 | 28 | Partly cloudy. |
Stanthorpe | โ | 16 | 24 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Wide Bay and Burnett:
Grab your umbrella if you're living the luxurious coastal lifestyle or chilling in the southern regions. Everywhere else, you can leave it at home because the chances of rain are about as slim as my chances of winning the lottery. Winds will be blowing in from the east to southeast at a moderate speed, but don't worry, they'll calm down by bedtime. So, basically, it's a mostly clear day with a sprinkle of rain in select areas. Enjoy!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Bundaberg | โ | 22 | 31 | Mostly sunny. |
Gympie | โ | 21 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Hervey Bay | โ | 23 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Kingaroy | โ | 17 | 28 | Partly cloudy. |
Maryborough | โ | 22 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Gayndah | โ | 19 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Southeast Coast:
So, looks like Mother Nature might be feeling a bit indecisive today. We've got some clouds, a moderate chance of showers, and winds coming in from the southeast at about 20 to 30 km/h. So, grab your umbrella and hold onto your hats, folks! It's going to be a wild ride out there.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (ยฐC) | Max Temp (ยฐC) | Description |
Beaudesert | โ | 19 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Brisbane | โ | 21 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Gatton | โ | 19 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Ipswich | โ | 19 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Logan Central | โ | 20 | 29 | Partly cloudy. |
Maroochydore | ๐ง | 22 | 29 | Possible shower. |
Redcliffe | โ | 22 | 28 | Partly cloudy. |
Surfers Paradise | ๐ง | 20 | 29 | Possible shower. |
We run on positivity and our output is education for your peace of mind. Wally also runs on coffee so shout him a coffee today, just for for $5 each year, or one each month for a year for $55 https://wallysweather.com.au/communityย
National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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