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Storms special report
Troughs causing showers and storms in the Top End, QLD, NSW, VIC, and TAS
Ridge of high pressure keeping much of SA & WA dry with gusty winds in the south
Trough in the west drawing hotter winds into WA and the central interior
Warnings:
Weather warnings include Major Flood Warning for the Buchan River and Moderate Flood Warning for the Snowy River
Various cancellations of severe weather warnings, thunderstorm warnings, hazardous surf warnings, and wind warnings for different regions
Sheep Graziers Warnings for West and South Gippsland, East Gippsland, Snowy Mountains, and South Coast
Fire Weather Warning for Burrup
Gale Warning for E Gippsland, Strong Wind Warning for Gippsland Lakes & Central Gippslands (cancelled Port Phillip & Western Port)
Multiple flood warnings for rivers including the Thomson River, Macalister River, Traralgon Creek, Genoa River, Cann River, Avon River, Mitchell River, Bega River, Lower Weir River, Paroo River (NSW), Tambo River, Wallam Creek, Mungallala Creek, Moonie River, Barcoo River, Moruya River, St Georges Basin, Queanbeyan, Molonglo Rivers, and Paroo River (Qld)
Final flood watches for Gippsland, parts of North East, South West, and Central Victoria, as well as parts of the New South Wales Illawarra Coast and South Coast Rivers
National
Northern Queensland has an unstable air mass and weak pressure gradient. A trough stretches across central and southern Queensland. A drier westerly flow follows the trough in southeast Queensland. The trough will move back west, bringing back humid and unstable conditions in the southeast. A high moving eastward over the weekend will strengthen a ridge across most of Queensland. A southeasterly wind change will spread north along the east coast from Monday. This will likely bring settled weather to the state next week.
State
Northern Queensland has weak pressure and warm, unstable air. There is a trough across central and southern Queensland, with drier air in southeast Queensland. The trough will move west, bringing back humid and unstable conditions in the southeast. A high from the Southern Ocean will strengthen a ridge over Queensland, bringing a wind change from the southeast. This will result in settled weather for most of the state next week.
4-day
Friday: Thursday's weather in central and northern Queensland: scattered showers and thunderstorms inland. Southwest: partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Southeast: mostly clear. Winds: light to moderate from northeast to northwesterly, becoming west to northwesterly in the south.
Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms across most of the state. Severe thunderstorm risk in northwest, central, and southeast Queensland. Above-average temperatures in eastern and northern regions. Severe heatwave conditions in the north.
Sunday: Most of the state will have scattered showers and thunderstorms, except the far southwest. Some parts of central and southeast Queensland may experience severe thunderstorms. Temperatures will be high across most of the state, with a severe heatwave in the north.
Monday: Some showers and storms in the east and north, sunny in the southwest. Above average temperatures, severe heatwave in the far north. Cooler conditions in southeast QLD due to a southeasterly wind change.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Daytime temperatures ranging from 31 to 37 degrees Celsius, with light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, and partly cloudy conditions with a medium chance of inland showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin (Townsville):
Daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s, with light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day, and mostly sunny conditions with a slight chance of a shower inland in the afternoon and evening, and near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s, with light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning, and mostly sunny conditions with a slight chance of a shower in the south and near zero chance elsewhere, along with the chance of a thunderstorm in the south from late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Peninsula:
Daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s, with winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon, and becoming light in the evening. Mostly sunny with a medium chance of showers in the west, slight chance elsewhere, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Gulf Country:
Daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s, with light winds becoming north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s, with winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h, tending northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning, and becoming light in the late evening. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Capricornia:
Daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s, with light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning, then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere, and the chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe with damaging winds and large hail in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Possible heavy falls in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35 degrees Celsius, with light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the evening. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, most likely from the late morning, and the chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe with damaging winds and large hail in the south in the afternoon and evening. Possible heavy falls in the south in the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Central West:
Overnight temperatures: around 20°C, daytime temperatures: 31 to 37°C. Mostly sunny with a medium chance of showers in the northeast and a slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, with light winds.
North West:
Overnight temperatures: low to mid 20s°C, daytime temperatures: mid to high 30s°C. Mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower near the New South Wales border and near-zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a possibly severe thunderstorm in the east. Winds north to northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h, becoming north to northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning, then shifting to northwest to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Channel Country:
Overnight temperatures: Low to mid 20s°C, daytime temperatures: Mid to high 30s°C. Mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower near the New South Wales border and near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a possibly severe thunderstorm in the east. Winds from the north to northeasterly at 25 to 35 km/h, tending to north to northwesterly at 25 to 40 km/h in the morning, then shifting to northwest to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37 degrees Celsius, with light winds becoming north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the late evening. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon, and the chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe with damaging winds and large hail east of Longreach in the afternoon and evening. Possible heavy falls east of Longreach in the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s, with light winds becoming west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day, then becoming light in the evening. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, and the chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning, possibly severe in the north with damaging winds and large hail in the afternoon and evening. Possible heavy falls in the north in the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s, with light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the evening. Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening, and the chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning, possibly severe with damaging winds and large hail in the afternoon and evening. Possible heavy falls in the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22.
Southeast Coast:
Mostly sunny morning with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s, light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day, then becoming light in the evening. High chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, along with the chance of a thunderstorm. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 20.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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