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Storms special report
Troughs shifting north & east confine showers & storms to NT, QLD, far southeast NSW, far eastern VIC & northeast TAS. Western trough maintains heat over WA, triggering occasional storms. High pressure keeps much of SA and eastern interior dry.
Warnings:
Major Flood Warning for Thomson River, Severe Storm Warning, Strong Wind Warning for Esperance Coast, Fire Weather Warning for multiple regions.
Flood Warnings for Mitchell River, Avon River, Snowy River, Buchan River, Macalister River, and others.
Final Flood Warnings for Traralgon Creek, Wallam Creek, and Queanbeyan and Molonglo Rivers.Rivers
Storm probabilities 2PM | Rain Accumulation 3 days | Rain 8 x 24 hour accumulated
National
Weak pressure gradient, warm unstable air in northern Queensland. Broad trough extends over western, central, and southern Queensland. Southern part to cross southeast on Monday. Inland drifts west, weakens. High moves into Tasman Sea, then north, creating ridge over state. Ridge maintained by new high in Tasman Sea. New trough may cross southern Queensland next weekend.
State
Weak pressure gradient and warm, unstable air remains over northern Queensland. Broad trough stretches across western, central, and southern parts of the state. Southern part of trough to cross southeast Queensland on Monday, while inland portion weakens. High pressure to move into Tasman Sea on Monday and extend ridge over most of the state. Ridge to be maintained by new high late next week. Possible new trough in southern Queensland next weekend.
4-day
Saturday: Most of the state will have isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly inland. There could be severe thunderstorms in central and southern Queensland. Winds will be light to moderate from the northwest to northeast, but will turn southeast to southwest in the far southwest later in the day. The north and northeast will have severe heatwave conditions.
Sunday: Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms expected statewide, with possible severe thunderstorms in central and southern Queensland. Mostly sunny in the southwest. Severe heatwave conditions in the north and northeast. Maximum temperatures near average in the far southwest, above average elsewhere.
Monday: Most of the state will have showers and thunderstorms, with scattered showers along the east coast. The southwest will be mostly sunny. It will be very hot in the north and northeast. Maximum temperatures will be near average in the southeast and above average elsewhere.
Tuesday: Eastern districts will have isolated showers, while central and northern Queensland will have both isolated showers and a chance of a thunderstorm away from the east coast. The rest of the region will be mostly sunny. Severe heatwave conditions can be expected in the north and southwest. Maximum temperatures will be near average in eastern districts and above average elsewhere.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: 30 to 35; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light to 20 km/h; Wind direction: east to northeasterly; Rainfall: High chance of showers inland, medium chance elsewhere; Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin (Townsville):
Max temperature: 32-37, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light to 20 km/h, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: low to high 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light becoming northerly 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: northerly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Other: partly cloudy, chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s | Min temperature: low to mid 20s | Wind speed: light, becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h | Wind direction: east to northeasterly | Rainfall: Partly cloudy with high chance of showers south of Palmerville, medium chance elsewhere | Other: Chance of thunderstorm, light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 40, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: north to northwesterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with high chance of showers in the north and medium chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm with heavy falls near Northern Territory border in the afternoon and evening.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: 33 to 39°C, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 20 km/h, Wind direction: N to NW, Rainfall: high chance of showers, partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: north to northwesterly, Rainfall: showers likely, Partly cloudy, Thunderstorm possible.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 19-23, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: northwesterly, Rainfall: partly cloudy with medium chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible.
Central West:
Max temperature: 35 to 41, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: northwest to northeasterly, Rainfall: Slight chance of showers in the northeast, Near zero chance of rain elsewhere, Other: Mostly sunny, Chance of thunderstorm.
North West:
Max temperature: 40, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: southeast to southwesterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy; medium chance of showers; chance of thunderstorm with possible heavy falls in afternoon/evening.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 34-39°C, Min temperature: 19-23°C, Winds: SE to SW 15-20 km/h becoming light early then S to SW 15-25 km/h midday, Mostly sunny with rainfall unknown.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 16-19, Wind: light to 25km/h, Rainfall: slight chance of shower, Thunderstorm: chance in east, mostly sunny.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: low 30s, Min temperature: 16-20, Wind speed: light to westerly 15-25 km/h, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon, Overnight temperatures falling to 16-20.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 35, Min temperature: 18-22, Wind: NW 15-20 km/h, NW 15-25 km/h in the morning, NW 15-20 km/h in the evening, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible, Partly cloudy.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 18-21, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: west to northwesterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Partly cloudy with a chance of severe thunderstorm.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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