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2024 Wally's Weather Calendar
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Special report
Christmas:
Continuing to look ahead to Christmas day, a low pressure system is expected over Victoria and the NT, extending a trough over the dividing range. The trough is not expected to move too move on Christmas day, however on Boxing day it should move further East.
Christmas day rainfall forecast
Storms:
Troughs bring showers & storms to NT's Top End, eastern QLD & northern WA, drawing heat northward and into the interior. Cool, southerly winds result in light showers in parts of NSW and northern Vic. Elsewhere, a drier airmass prevails.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of Gympie, Sunshine Coast, and Noosa Council Areas.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of Central Highlands & Coalfields, Capricornia, Wide Bay & Burnett & Southeast Coast.
Strong Wind Warning for Pilbara Coast East & Albany and Esperance coasts.
Fire Weather Warning for Barkly North.
Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip.
Strong Wind Warning Spencer Gulf, Gulf St Vincent, Adelaide Waters & Upper West, Lower West, South Central, Upper South East & L SE coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Sydney Enclosed Waters & Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts.
Flood Watch For Parts Of The Cape York Peninsula.
Final Flood Warning For The Tully And Murray Rivers.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Final Flood Warning For The Herbert River.
Final Flood Warning For The St Pauls River.
Fire Weather Warning for Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Geographe, Brockman, Mortlock, Karroun, Avon, and Lockwood.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
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Storms 2PM maturing
National
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jasper persists in Gulf of Carpentaria, may move east and strengthen trough in Coral Sea. Central, southern Queensland to experience trough movement, accompanied by showers and thunderstorms. Troughs weaken and new ones form in southeast, southwest, and cross southern Queensland. Trough expected to weaken by mid next week.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jasper persists as a weak system in the Gulf of Carpentaria and may move east, possibly strengthening in the northern Coral Sea. A trough is also moving east over Queensland, enhancing showers and storms. Another trough will move into the southwest on Sunday and spread east across Queensland. A new upper trough may also enhance showers and storms over eastern Queensland. The trough may weaken by mid next week.
ACCESS 3Hour Rainfall
4-day
Friday: Thursday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms across most of the state, with more widespread rain in southeastern and central Queensland. Severe thunderstorms possible with heavy rain, strong winds, and hail in central and southern districts. Mostly clear in the far southwest. Winds generally from the northwest to northeasterly, then shifting to southeasterly in the southwest and southeast parts of the state.
Saturday: Scattered showers and storms statewide, except in the west. Chance of severe thunderstorms with strong winds, hail, and heavy rain in the southeast. Some sun in the far west. Temps below average in the southeast, above in the west, and near average elsewhere.
Sunday: Few showers and storms across the state, becoming more widespread in the southeast. Above-average temperatures in the west and central areas, near average elsewhere.
Monday: Some showers and thunderstorms across the state. Temperatures above average in the northwest, Central West District, and the southeast, and near average elsewhere.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: around 30, Min temperature: 19-23, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: N/A, Rainfall: high chance of showers in the afternoon/evening, Chance of thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: 31 to 36, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening, Wind direction: northerly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon, with the chance of a thunderstorm, Other: Partly cloudy.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind: light becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Thunderstorms possible. Partly cloudy.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: not specified, Rainfall: high chance of showers in north of Weipa, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy, Chance of thunderstorm.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 35 to 42, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening, Wind direction: north to northwesterly, Rainfall: Medium chance of showers in the east, most likely in the morning and afternoon, near zero chance of rain elsewhere, Other: Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
The forecast includes a high of 33 to 40°C, low temperatures in the low to mid 20s, mostly sunny skies, a chance of showers, a potential thunderstorm, winds shifting from northwest to southwesterly, and reaching speeds of 15 to 20 km/h.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: showers, Other: chance of thunderstorm.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
The weather will be partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning, and a chance of a severe thunderstorm. Wind speeds will be light, becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then becoming light. The minimum temperature will be between 17 and 22, and the maximum temperature will be between 28 and 35.
Central West:
Max temperature: 32 to 39, Min temperature: 19 to 23, Wind speed: 15 to 20km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: near zero chance, Other: Mostly sunny with slight chance of shower in northeast and thunderstorm east of Longreach.
North West:
Max temperature: 40, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light early, becoming 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: southerly, Rainfall: none, Other: Sunny.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s, min temperature: low 20s, wind speed: light, wind direction: southerly, rainfall: none, other: sunny.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature: 29 to 34, Min temperature: 18 to 21, Wind speed: light to 25 km/h, Wind direction: south to east, Rainfall: partly cloudy, medium chance of showers, slight chance elsewhere, Other: chance of severe thunderstorm.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: 28, Min temperature: 17, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible, Cloudy.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temp: 29, Min temp: 18-21, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: N/A, Rainfall: Showers likely, Cloudy, Chance of thunderstorm.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: low to mid 20s, Min temperature: 17-20, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: showers likely in morning and afternoon, Chance of thunderstorm inland, Overnight temperatures falling.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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