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Special report
Christmas Day Rainfall for NQ
Storms start early in the day and slowly push East , however, the trough will not move much and showers will barely make the coast. Some models have the showers reaching earlier in the day, ACCESS doesn't have that confidence. Heavier rain for the Central Highlands where storms develop over the dividing ranges. Given the surprising showers and rain we have had the last few days, expect some stray weak troughs about the coast, the forecasts are obviously not able to pick these up. With the conditions we have, expect showers to rain, the amount of instability is about as much as you can expect.
NQ Rainfall over Christmas
Storms:
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds, Hail & Heavy Rain) Central Highlands & Coalfields, Capricornia & Central Coast & Whitsundays.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Hail & Damaging Winds) North Central & Central, Mallee, Northern Country, North East, Wimmera & South West.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central West Slopes and Plains, Riverina, and Lower Western.
Strong Wind Warning for Pilbara Coast East & Leeuwin, Albany, and Esperance coasts.
Fire Weather Warning for Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, and Brockman.
Sheep Graziers Warning for Mount Lofty Ranges, Riverland, Murraylands, Upper South East, and Lower South East.
Sheep Graziers Warning for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, South West, and Central.
Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip & West Coast.
Strong Wind Warning Spencer Gulf, Gulf St Vincent, Invest St, Adelaide Waters & South Central, Upper South East & Lower South East coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Far North West and Central North coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Byron and Coffs coasts. Cancellation for Macquarie Coast.
Initial Flood Watch For Gippsland, North West, South West, Central, And North East Victoria.
Downy Mildew Advice for Monday for Mount Lofty Ranges, Riverland, Murraylands, Upper South East, and Lower South East.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Initial Minor Flood Watch For Rivers In The South Coast Through To The Upper Murrumbidgee.
Final Flood Warning For The Burnett River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Barcoo River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Final Flood Watch For Parts Of The Cape York Peninsula.
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Peak of the storms
National
Troughs and lows will trigger showers and thunderstorms over parts of WA, the NT, QLD's north and east, NSW, VIC, and southeast SA, some of which will be intense. Troughs will draw heat into eastern QLD and WA's interior. High pressure will keep SA and the interior dry.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
A trough in western Queensland will deepen and move east across central and southern Queensland, bringing showers and thunderstorms. Another trough may move east across central and southern Queensland next weekend.
ACCESS 3Hour Rainfall
4-day
Monday (Christmas Day): Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the state, becoming widespread in central and southeastern Queensland south of Rockhampton and in the far northern Peninsula. Severe thunderstorms potential in central and southeastern Queensland with damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and large hail. Partly cloudy in other areas. Light to moderate northwest to northeasterly winds, shifting to south to southwesterly in southwestern Queensland.
Tuesday: Possible showers and storms across the state except southwest, southern, and central interior. Showers may become widespread in some eastern districts and the far northern Peninsula. Severe thunderstorms possible in central and southeast Queensland with damaging wind, heavy rain, and large hail. Mostly sunny in the southwest. Severe heatwave in the northern interior and northwest. High fire danger in western Queensland. Above average temperatures in the northwest, Central West District, and southeast, below average in the southwest, and near average elsewhere. Below average minimums in the west and southern interior.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in eastern and Far North Queensland. Showers may become widespread on the east coast. Central and southeast Queensland may have severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and large hail. West, central, and southern interior will be mostly sunny. Above average temperatures, except for the southwest. Severe heatwave conditions in the northwest, northern interior, and central/southeast Queensland. Minimum temperatures below average in the west, central, and southern interior.
Thursday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms in South East Queensland, scattered showers along the east coast north of Gympie and in Far North Queensland. Mostly sunny in the southwest, central and southern interior. Severe heatwave conditions in western and South East Queensland. High maximum temperatures, especially south of Hughenden. Low minimum temperatures in western, central and southern interior Queensland.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, Thunderstorm: late morning.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Tomorrow will have a max temperature of low to mid 30s, a min temperature in the low to mid 20s, winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h with a chance of showers, thunderstorms, and partly cloudy skies.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: northerly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Thunderstorm: possible and severe, Other: Partly cloudy with showers likely in late morning and afternoon.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: 32 to 38, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind: Light becoming NW to NE 15 to 20 km/h, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible, Cloudy.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 37 to 42, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: northerly becoming north to northwesterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers in the east and slight chance elsewhere, Thunderstorm possible.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature 34 to 41, min temperature in the low to mid 20s, wind speed 15 to 30 km/h shifting direction, chance of showers, chance of thunderstorm, partly cloudy.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: low 30s, Min temperature: 20 to 25, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h northerly, Wind direction: northerly, Rainfall: cloudy, Very high chance of showers, Chance of thunderstorm with damaging winds and large hail, Heavy falls possible inland.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: 36°C, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: possible heavy falls, Other: Cloudy with very high chance of showers, thunderstorm likely (possibly severe with damaging winds and large hail), winds tending to north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.
Central West:
Max temperature: 41, min temperature: 22, wind speed: 20-35 km/h, wind direction: northwest to south, rainfall: showers, other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm possibly severe.
North West:
Max temperature: 40°, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: southeast to southwesterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Mostly sunny with a chance of a thunderstorm.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 37, Min temperature: 19, Wind speed: 25-35 km/h, Wind direction: South to southwesterly, Rainfall: Little or no rainfall. Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorm.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Mostly sunny with a chance of showers in the east, thunderstorm possible in northeast with damaging winds and large hail, heavy falls possible; max temp in low to high 30s, min temp in the low 20s, wind north to northwesterly 20-30 km/h turning west to southwesterly 25-40 km/h in the afternoon.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 18-22, Wind speed: 20-30 km/h from the north, Rainfall: possible heavy falls, Partly cloudy with high chance of showers, thunderstorm likely with damaging winds and large hail.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: low 30s | Min temperature: 19-23 | Wind speed: light winds becoming northwesterly 15-25 km/h in the morning then tending northerly in the middle of the day | Wind direction: northwesterly then northerly | Rainfall: very high chance of showers, possibly heavy falls | Other: Partly cloudy, chance of a severe thunderstorm with damaging winds and large hail overnight. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19-23.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: light becoming N to NW 15-20 km/h in the morning, Wind direction: light, Rainfall: possible heavy falls in late morning, Other: Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers, thunderstorm likely with damaging winds and large hail.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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