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Monsoon Update
Ex TC Lincoln is crossing the coast new Carnarvon now as a low and that will take some rain across WA to the SSW. Unfortunately none for SA.
National
Showers and storms affecting northeast NSW, QLD, and the northern tropics. Storms and heavy rainfall in WA's west as a low-pressure system moves inland. South regions experience settled and dry conditions due to a high-pressure ridge.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
An upper low in the northwest brings rain to the east, weakening and moving southeast. A coastal trough causes heavy rain, potentially shifting southward. Troughs over southern Queensland and New South Wales may reach the east coast, while a coastal trough off southeast Queensland causes unsettled conditions.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Sunday: Northeastern Queensland: Cloudy with showers, storms, possible heavy falls easing. Scattered showers and storms across various regions. Severe storms possible in southeast areas. Isolated showers elsewhere. Mostly sunny in the far southwest. Winds vary across regions.
Monday: Scattered showers and storms in the north, possibly severe. Isolated showers in the east and central. Mostly sunny in the southwest and south. Above-average temperatures in the south.
Tuesday: Scattered showers and storms in the north. Isolated coastal showers. Mostly sunny in the southwest. Above-average temperatures in the south.
Wednesday: Some showers and storms in northern Queensland, isolated showers in eastern and central areas south of Rockhampton. Sunny in southwest, few showers and storms in central west and southwest. Far west may have showers and storms by Thursday. Temps slightly below average in the northwest and above average in the south.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: 32°C, Min temperature: Low to mid 20s, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: N/A, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: 30°C, Min temperature: 20°C, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: Showers likely, Other: Cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
The weather forecast includes a high of around 30°C, a low in the low 20s, winds starting from south to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn and later picking up to the same strength southeasterly, and likely showers and thunderstorms with mostly cloudy skies.
Peninsula:
The forecast includes a max temp in the low to mid 30s, a min temp in the low to mid 20s, light winds, chance of showers and thunderstorm, and partly cloudy skies.
Gulf Country:
Partly cloudy with high chance of showers, medium chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm, max temp low to mid 30s, min temp low to mid 20s, wind east to southeasterly 15-20 km/h becoming light in early afternoon.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Partly cloudy with temperatures reaching around 30, with easterly winds becoming light and then east to southeasterly, chance of showers mainly in the north, chance of a thunderstorm, and overnight temperatures falling to 19-23.
Capricornia:
The weather forecast includes maximum temperature around 30 degrees, minimum temperature between 19 and 23 degrees, wind speeds around 15 to 20 km/h, southeasterly wind direction, a very high chance of showers particularly in the morning and afternoon with a possibility of severe thunderstorms and heavy falls in the south, and partly cloudy skies.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
The weather forecast includes a maximum temperature of around 30°C, a minimum temperature of around 20°C, light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, a medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon, and a chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon with partly cloudy conditions.
Central West:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: near zero chance, Other: Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms east of Longreach. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22.
North West:
Mostly sunny with low to high 30s temperature, low to mid 20s overnight, easterly winds 15 to 30 km/h, slight chance of northeast showers, near zero elsewhere, and falling overnight temperatures.
Channel Country:
The forecast includes a maximum temperature around 40°C, minimum temperature in the low to mid 20s, winds northeast to southeasterly at 15 to 25 km/h becoming light late in the evening, with a possibility of rain, but primarily sunny conditions.
Maranoa and Warrego:
The weather will be mostly sunny with light winds, temperatures ranging from 19-22°C overnight to 32-39°C during the day, medium chance of showers in the north, near zero chance elsewhere, and a chance of a thunderstorm.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Tomorrow, expect a warm day with temperatures ranging from 28 to 34 degrees Celsius, light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h, and a chance of showers mainly in the early morning with the possibility of a severe thunderstorm in the south.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
The forecast for today includes a maximum temperature of around 30°C, with light winds becoming east to southeasterly, a high chance of showers, thunderstorms possible, and overnight temperatures dropping to between 19 and 22°C.
Southeast Coast:
The weather forecast includes a maximum temperature in the mid to high 20s, minimum temperatures falling to between 19 and 22, light winds, high chance of showers mainly in the morning, chance of a thunderstorm, and cloudy skies.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe Weather Warning for Heavy Rainfall and Damaging Winds in parts of Gascoyne and Central West districts.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall in parts of Northern Rivers.
Strong Wind Warning for Ningaloo, Geraldton, Lancelin, Perth, Bunbury Geographe & Leeuwin coasts.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Heavy Rainfall in parts of Wide Bay and Burnett.
Fire Weather Warning for South Interior.
Minor Flood Warning for the Paroo River (Nsw).
Minor Flood Warning for the Herbert River.
Flood Watch for Parts of Pilbara, Gascoyne Coast, and Central West District Rivers.
Major Flood Warning for the Nicholson River.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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