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An added thanks to the sponsorship from NQ Licensed Events and the Country Festival on March 30 & 31 at the Dittman Bullpit
Website: https://www.countryfest.com.au/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/contryfestqld
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/countryfestqld/
The weather for the Country Fest is looking fine for the 2 days, 0mm rainfall forecast at the moment. I will keep you updated.
Monsoon Update
TC Megan currently located in the Gulf of Carpentaria, has recently completed a clockwise loop and is now picking up speed as it heads towards the southwest coast. Expected to make landfall near the Sir Edward Pellew Group in approximately 24 hours, the cyclone is forecasted to maintain its intensity despite moderate environmental shear. While there is agreement among deterministic track guidance models, there is concern about track speed variability in the first 36 hours. Intensity guidance remains mixed, with some models suggesting additional intensification. However, the forecast predicts a peak intensity of 95 knots.
Pink concerts in Townsville still looks to be expecting light showers for the Friday and heavier showers on the Saturday but easing back in the late afternoon.
Easter still has early showers Friday and rain on Saturday to 10mm. But nothing after that.
National
In the tropics and northwest of Western Australia, Tropical Cyclone Megan and monsoon troughs are anticipated to generate intense rain, storms, and winds. Heavy showers and storms are expected to scatter across the east of Queensland and New South Wales due to humid and unstable winds. Meanwhile, in Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia, and central Australia, isolated showers and storms are forecasted with weaker instability.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
A monsoon trough in the Gulf of Carpentaria will bring extended rainfall to North and Far North Queensland. Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan will move south over the western Gulf, reaching the southern Gulf coast next week. Showers and southeast winds will persist along the east coast, with a weak trough affecting southern Queensland mid to late week.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Monday: Isolated to scattered showers with possible thunderstorms in parts of northwestern and Far North Queensland. Rain and heavy rainfall chances in Cape York Peninsula, Gulf Coast, and North Tropical Coast. Showers likely on the east coast and some chance of thunderstorms in the southern interior. Strong winds in southern Gulf coast, with potential gales and damaging gusts in coastal areas near the NT/Qld border. Light to moderate winds elsewhere.
Tuesday: Patchy showers and isolated thunderstorms in North and Far North Queensland, becoming widespread with rain in the northwest and northeast coast. Chance of heavy rain in North Tropical Coast and Gulf Country. Scattered showers in eastern and southern Queensland, chance of a thunderstorm south of Brisbane and Thargomindah. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Higher temperatures in southwest and southern interior, cooler in the northwest and normal elsewhere.
Wednesday: Patchy showers and thunderstorms in the north. Widespread showers in the Cape York Peninsula and northeast tropical coast. Locally heavy rain possible in some areas. Isolated showers and chance of thunderstorms in most regions. Above-average temperatures in the southwest, below-average in the northwest, and near-average elsewhere.
Thursday: Expect isolated to scattered showers in most districts, with the possibility of thunderstorms in the north. Showers may be widespread in certain areas. Maximum temperatures will be below average in the far west and near average elsewhere.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Maximum temperature: 30 degrees, Minimum temperature: 20 degrees, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h easterly, Wind direction: Easterly, Rainfall: Locally heavy falls with high chance of showers, Cloudy with chance of severe thunderstorms.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
High chance of showers in the north with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33, lows in the low to mid 20s, wind easterly 15 to 25 km/h, and other cloudy conditions.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
The weather will be partly cloudy with a maximum temperature of 33°C, minimum temperature in the low 20s, easterly to southeasterly winds at 20 to 30 km/h, and medium chance of showers near the coast and slight chance elsewhere.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: low 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: Light winds becoming northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: northwest to northeasterly, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers, Thunderstorm: Yes, Cloud cover: Cloudy
Gulf Country:
Max temperature around 30, min temperature in the mid 20s, easterly winds 25 to 40 km/h, high chance of rain with possibility of a thunderstorm and localized heavy rainfall and damaging winds near the south coast due to Tropical Cyclone Megan.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
The weather forecast includes a high of low to mid-30s, low of low to mid-20s, easterly winds at 20 to 30 km/h, cloudy skies with medium chance of showers in the north and slight chance elsewhere, and a thunderstorm possible in the north.
Capricornia:
The weather will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers, light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h, with temperatures ranging from 19 to 30 degrees.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: 18 to 22, Wind speed: east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: E to NE, Rainfall: Slight chance of showers in northeast, Other: Partly cloudy with light winds
Central West:
Mostly sunny with temperatures ranging from low to mid 20s overnight and reaching mid to high 30s during the day, with northeasterly winds dropping from 20-30 km/h to 15-20 km/h in the late evening.
North West:
Highs of 31 to 37°C with lows in the low to mid 20s, wind speed increasing to 20-30 km/h from east to northeasterly, partly cloudy with high chance of showers in northwest, near zero chance elsewhere, slight chance of thunderstorm in northwest.
Channel Country:
Mostly sunny with a max temperature around 40°C, min temperature in the mid to high 20s, wind speed decreasing from 25 to 35 km/h to light, wind direction shifting from north to northeasterly to east to northeasterly, and no rainfall expected.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower in the south and near zero chance elsewhere, with a chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the morning and afternoon; max temperature in the mid to high 30s, min temperature between 19-23, winds shifting from east to northeasterly 15-20 km/h to north to northeasterly 20-30 km/h before becoming light in the early afternoon, with rainfall expected.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Partly cloudy with showers likely, possible thunderstorm, winds E to NE 15-25 km/h, max 34°C, min 17°C, rainfall expected.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 30°C, Min temperature: 17-21°C, Wind: Light winds becoming easterly 15-25 km/h and then light in the evening, Rainfall: Medium chance of showers and thunderstorm in the south, Other: Partly cloudy.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: mid to high 20s, Min temperature: 17 to 20, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: Varies, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Hurricane force wind warning issued for Roper Groote Coast in the Northern Territory, along with strong wind warnings for Van Diemen Gulf and Arafura and Gove Peninsula coasts.
Severe thunderstorm warning for damaging winds, large hailstones, and heavy rainfall issued for Mid North, Murraylands, and North East Pastoral districts in South Australia.
Gale warnings issued for the southern, western, southern, and southeastern areas of New South Wales and the Southern Area.
Severe weather warning for abnormally high tides issued for parts of the Gulf Country in Queensland.
Storm force wind warning for South East Gulf of Carpentaria and gale warning for North East Gulf of Carpentaria issued in Queensland.
Hazardous surf warning issued for Byron, Coffs, Macquarie, and Hunter coasts in New South Wales, with cancellations for Illawarra, Eden, Sydney, and Batemans coasts.
Strong wind warnings issued for East Gippsland Coast in Victoria, and for Monday, for Sydney, Illawarra, and Eden coasts in New South Wales.
Strong wind warning issued for Monday for various areas in Tasmania.
Tropical cyclone warning issued for Groote Eylandt to Mornington Island, inland to Borroloola, McArthur River Mine, and Robinson River in the Northern Territory.
Flood watch issued for the Cape York Peninsula, North Tropical Coast, and the Gulf Country in Queensland.
Flood watch issued for the Carpentaria and parts of the Top End and Barkly Districts in the Northern Territory.
Minor flood warning issued for the Tully River in Queensland.
Tropical cyclone technical bulletin and ocean wind warning issued for Tropical Cyclone in the Northern Territory.
Final flood warning issued for the Victoria River in the Northern Territory.
Moderate flood warning issued for the Daly River, and minor flood warning for the Katherine River in the Northern Territory.
Initial minor flood warning issued for the Warrego River in New South Wales.
Final flood watch issued for the West Kimberley in Western Australia.
Final flood warning issued for the Paroo River in Queensland.
Minor flood warning issued for the Diamantina River in Queensland.
Minor flood warning issued for the Paroo River in New South Wales.
Flood warning issued for the Eucla District in Western Australia.
Flood warning issued for the Salt Lakes District Rivers in Western Australia.
Moderate flood warning issued for Eyre Creek and minor flood warning for the Georgina River in Queensland.
Flood warning issued for the inland rivers in South Australia.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
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Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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