Morning Weather - November 30 - Wally's Weather Australia
- Nov 30, 2023
- 4 min read
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Storms special report
A trough and low in the east will bring rain, storms, and gusty winds to southeast NSW and eastern VIC. Other lows and troughs will maintain heat, showers, and storms in QLD, northern tropics, western SA, and eastern WA. A trough in WA will broaden, allowing heat to build inland. A tropical low is starting to appear on models and this lines up with the monsoon pulse forecast by the long range forecast. There will be many models, some showing it heading for QLD, my approach is 4 days at a time, anything past that is speculation and yesterday's fish and chip paper.
Warnings:
- Moderate Flood Warning For The Bega River
- Strong Wind Warning for Eucla Coast
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Macalister River
- Gale Warning for Eden Coast
- Sheep Graziers Warning for Snowy Mountains & South Coast
- Severe Weather Warning (Heavy Rainfall And Damaging Winds) for parts of East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland and North East
- Severe Weather Warning (Heavy Rainfall And Damaging Winds) for parts of South Coast and Snowy Mountains
- Sheep Graziers Warning for Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
- Strong Wind Warning Banks St & Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Is & Far North West & CN coasts
- Gale Warning East Gippsland Coast. Strong Wind warning for Port Phillip, Western Port, Gippsland Lakes & West, Central & Central Gippsland
- Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Thomson River
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Mitchell River
- Hazardous Surf Warning for Batemans and Eden coasts
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Avon River
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Snowy River
- Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Cann And Genoa Rivers
- Sheep Graziers Warning for Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
- Gale Warning East Gippsland Coast. Strong Wind warning for Port Phillip, Western Port, Gippsland Lakes & West, Central & Central Gippsland
- Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Thomson River
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Mitchell River
- Hazardous Surf Warning for Batemans and Eden coasts
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Avon River
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Snowy River
- Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Cann And Genoa Rivers
- Minor Flood Warning For The Moruya And Deua Rivers
- Minor Flood Warning For The St Georges Basin
- Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld)
- Flood Watch For Gippsland, Parts Of North East, South West And Central Victoria
- Minor Flood Warning For Wallam Creek And Flood Warning For Mungallala Creek
- Flood Watch For Parts Of The New South Wales Illawarra Coast And South Coast Rivers
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Weir River
- Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw)
- Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Barcoo River
- Major Flood Warning For The Moonie River
ECMWF Storm 4pm | ECMWF Accumulated Rain 3 Days ! GFS Dec 5 model
ACCESS QLD 8 x 24 hour Rainfall
National
A trough over NSW is expected to head East out into the Tasman and form an East Coast Low. This is attached to a trough over QLD.
State
A weather system north of New Zealand will create a weak ridge along the east coast, leading to warm and dry winds in southern Queensland. However, a trough will move across the area on Thursday, causing rain and humid conditions. The trough will then move back and forth over the next few days before a ridge strengthens next week along the east coast.
4-day
Thursday will see isolated showers and thunderstorms in various parts of Queensland, accompanied by westerly winds in the south and northeasterly winds along the southeast coast. Temperatures in the east will be above average.
On Friday, there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the state, with the possibility of severe thunderstorms in specific areas. Temperatures in the eastern region will be above average, while the far west will experience an elevated risk of wildfires.
Saturday will bring more showers and thunderstorms across most of Queensland, particularly in the southeast. The east will experience above average temperatures.
Sunday will see scattered showers and thunderstorms in central, eastern, and northern districts, while the southwest and southern interior will enjoy mostly sunny conditions. Temperatures will be near or above average, and the tropical northeast will experience severe heatwave conditions. There may also be high fire dangers in the southern and southeastern interior.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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