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Tropical Low
The tropical low NE of the Solomon Islands is deepening to 995hPa Sunday and will deepen further to 980hPa by Monday as it drifts slowly SSW towards Vanuatu. At this point it will be well fed from the warm humid air to the NE and mix with warmer but drier air from the South East creating severe storms. The Satellite is now showing great form and some partial circulation. The cloud covers a very large area. Tuesday is where the tropical low will reach it's peak, and as it reaches more dry air and cooler waters it will start to degrade a little. A low now in the Tasman Sea is blocking a High that might have guided the low differently.
National
High pressure over Tasman Sea extends across eastern Queensland, promoting settled conditions. Western Queensland trough moves eastward then lingers. Trough may reinvigorate, sweeping east across southern Queensland. Tropical low forms near Solomon Islands but likely stays offshore.
State
High pressure in the Tasman Sea brings settled conditions to eastern Queensland for several days. A trough over western Queensland will move eastward and become slow-moving early next week. An approaching frontal system may cause the trough to reinvigorate and move across southern Queensland from Wednesday. A tropical low is developing near the Solomon Islands and could move into the northeastern Coral Sea next week, but is not expected to directly impact the Queensland coast.
4-day
Saturday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the western Gulf Country. Clear in other areas. Light to moderate winds from northeast to southeast, occasionally strong along the North Queensland coast.
Sunday: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms isolated in the western Gulf Country. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Above-average temperatures with a risk of fires in the interior.
Monday: Monday: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms inland from central and southern Queensland. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Temperatures above average, especially in central and southern Queensland.
Tuesday: Isolated showers and storms in southeast Queensland and Carnarvon Ranges. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Max temps above average, especially in central and southern QLD.
Townsville
Min 19 Max 30 Sunny. No rain. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15-20 km/h in the middle of the day, then light in the evening.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin
Min 17 Max 31 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. Light winds, becoming northeasterly 15-25 km/h around midday.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands
Min 16 Max 32 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. East to southeasterly winds at 15-25 km/h.
Cairns
Min 20 Max 31 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0% Sunny. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.
Mackay
Min 17 Max 29 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0% Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Northern Goldfields
Min 21 Max 38 Mostly sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.
Mt Isa
Min 19 Max 39 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. Sunny. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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