This weather update is brought to you by Genesis Electrical NQ
Genesis Electrical NQ
We can Solve all of your Electrical, Air Conditioning and Solar needs!
Phone: 1300 443 637
Email: info@genesislec.com
Special Report
The monsoon trough is finally making an appearance. While we have seen 3 cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere already, none appeared to be attached to the classic monsoon trough. The monsoon trough is a trough that sits along the equator and collects warm humid air. This is normally where tropical systems develop. The trough will shift South over the top end and we can see this drawn in as a dot-dash line across the top end in this synoptic chart. The second chart to the right shows that the monsoon has shifted close to the Western region off the coast of WA, and by the time this is updated we should see it there this weekend. However, the weak low near the coast that should form may need to move to the Gulf (Northern region) to be able to deepen. Checking the water temps down the page, we can see this whole area is very warm.
So the wet season begins, pretty much on time and now we see if we get some rain.
Synoptic chart with Monsoon Trough shown | MJO Showing monsoon position
National
Troughs will bring heavy showers and storms to the tropical north, interior, QLD, and eastern NSW. WA may experience inland thunderstorms due to troughs while maintaining hot air across the interior and west. High pressure is expected to keep other regions dry and settled.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
A trough in western Queensland will move eastwards with unsettled conditions and moisture. It will weaken over southern Inland from Wednesday. A ridge along the east coast will strengthen later this week. The monsoon trough may develop in the Arafura Sea and extend towards the Gulf of Carpentaria, Torres Strait or northern Peninsula over next weekend. Increased shower and thunderstorm activity is expected in far northern Queensland due to convergence between monsoonal and southeasterly winds.
ACCESS 3Hour Rainfall
4-day
Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout most of the state, transitioning to showers in eastern districts north of Gympie. Widespread showers with rain periods in the northwest, central, and southern interior. Possible severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall in western Queensland and the Gold Coast Hinterland. Light winds from the northeast to southeast, shifting to south-southwest in the far southwest during the afternoon.
Wednesday: Most of the state will have scattered showers and thunderstorms, with some areas getting more rain. The southwest will be sunny. The coast of Gulf of Carpentaria, northern interior, and Far North Queensland will have widespread showers. There could be severe thunderstorms with heavy rain in the interior, Gulf Country, and southeast inland. Temperatures will be below average in the interior.
Thursday: Spotty showers and thunderstorms expected across the state, mainly showers along the east coast south of Bowen. Showers likely along the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and Far North Queensland, with potential for heavy rainfall. Interior and Far North will have below-average temperatures.
Friday: Scattered showers in east, isolated showers and thunderstorms in west. Moderate to heavy falls possible in Gulf of Carpentaria and Far North Queensland. Cooler temperatures in interior and far north.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max: 34°C, Min: 20°C, Wind: E to NE 15-20 km/h becoming light, Rainfall: Partly cloudy, Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening, with chance of thunderstorm inland. Overnight temps 20-25°C.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: 30 to 35, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light becoming northeasterly 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: northeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Other: partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, Rainfall: High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm, light winds becoming light in the evening.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: easterly to northeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Partly cloudy
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: not specified, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of severe thunderstorm.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: 30 to 35, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: very high chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: Low to mid 30s, Min temperature: Low to mid 20s, Wind speed: Light becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, Wind direction: East to northeasterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon, Other conditions: Chance of thunderstorm with light winds becoming light in the late evening.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temp: low to mid 30s, Min temp: low 20s, Wind: light becoming northeasterly 15-20km/h, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Thunderstorm possible.
Central West:
The weather tomorrow will have a maximum temperature of 36, a minimum temperature in the low 20s, light winds becoming northeasterly, high chance of showers and a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon.
North West:
Max temperature: 33 to 38, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light to 20 km/h, Wind direction: southeast to southwesterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Thunderstorm: possible and severe, Partly cloudy.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 34 to 39, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 20 km/h, Wind direction: south to southeasterly becoming southeast to southwesterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower in the east, near zero chance elsewhere, Other conditions: Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorm.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature: low 30s; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h; Wind direction: north; Rainfall: high chance of showers from late morning; Other: partly cloudy, chance of severe thunderstorm, light winds becoming light in the middle of the day.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: 30°C, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Thunderstorm: possibly severe, Other: partly cloudy
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: northeasterly, Rainfall: chance of showers, Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: 30°C, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light winds, Wind direction: unspecified, Rainfall: high chance of showers, most likely in late morning and afternoon, Other: cloudy with chance of thunderstorm, possibly severe.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe Storm Warning for Rain in Northern Goldfields & UFlinders, Herbert & Herb/L Burdekin, C Cst & Whitsundays, C Highlands & Coalfields, CW.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of Northern Rivers, North West Slopes and Plains, and Central West Slopes and Plains.
Minor Flood Warning For The King River.
Major Flood Warning For The Campaspe River.
Strong Wind Warning for Pilbara E, Pilbara Coast West, Per Local & Geraldton, Lancelin, Perth, Bunbury Geographe, Leeuwin & Esperance coasts.
Fire Weather Warning for Karroun and Lockwood.
Initial Moderate Flood Warning For The Latrobe River.
Initial Flood Warning For The Macalister River.
Major Flood Warning For The Goulburn River.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Thomson River.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Dandenong Creek.
Minor Flood Warning For The Bunyip River.
Strong Wind Warning for Central Gippsland and East Gippsland coasts.
Minor Flood Warning For The Seven Creeks.
Strong Wind Warning Banks St & Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Is & Far NW, CN, Upper East, Lower E & CW coasts. Cancelled SE & SW coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Coffs, Macquarie, Hunter and Batemans coasts.
Minor Flood Warning For The Yarra River.
Brown Rot Advice for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West & South Gippsland & East Gippsland.
Flood Watch For Gippsland, Central And Northern Victoria.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Snowy River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Dawson River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Loddon River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Broken River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Avoca River.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Fire Weather Warning for Burrup, Yarra Yarra, Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Brockman, Blackwood, Mortlock, Stirling North.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Maribyrnong River.
Final Flood Watch For Parts Of Capricornia And South East Coast.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
Click here to support to Wally's Weather
National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
留言