Mar 3 2025 - Townsville Daily

Welcome to the new Townsville Daily forecast. This is specific for the Townsville region only.

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Queensland Synoptic

Queensland is experiencing a weakening ridge in the south and a weak pressure gradient elsewhere, with Tropical Cyclone Alfred causing increased winds and waves along the central and southeast coast. The cyclone will stay offshore for the next day or two before potentially drifting towards the southeast coast later in the week, while a trough over the southwest will stick around the interior for a while.

Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:

Looks like we've got a mostly sunny day ahead with just a tiny chance of a shower down south - but don't worry, the rest of us are in the clear! Expect some light winds to keep things interesting. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a comfortable 19-23 degrees, so cozy up. And during the day, get ready for the heat with temperatures ranging from low to high 30s. Time to break out the sunscreen and maybe a fan or two!

Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:

Warnings

01/04:56 EST Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map

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Monsoon Special:

The next monsoon pulse due in Phase 6 (Gulf to Coral Sea) around the 26th March to 2nd April. Due to the 3rd pulse normally being weak, it tends to come around quicker so could be a week earlier.

TC Alfred is now a Category 2 again, and looking at the positioning of Alfred 4 days from now we now see the forecasts aligning up given we are now into the reliability period for forecasting. All 3 approaching on the 6th towards the SE coast, still impacting between Bundy and Coffs Harbour with the rain stretching a long way South. The SW side of the system seems to be impacting most between the 6th and 7th from the Sunshine Coast through to the Gold Coast.

JTWC Report: From 1am Tropical Cyclone Alfred (18P) is currently tracking southeast with sustained winds of 50 knots (93 km/h) and gusts higher. Located 254 nautical miles northeast of Brisbane, Alfred is experiencing moderate wind shear and dry air intrusion, which may limit its intensification. The system is expected to maintain its strength over the next 24 hours before turning westward due to shifting ridge patterns, bringing it towards the southern Queensland coast. By Wednesday, cooler sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear will likely weaken the system as it approaches land, with landfall forecast just north of Brisbane before dissipating. Forecast models indicate some uncertainty in the exact timing of its turn, but overall agreement suggests a weakening trend before landfall.

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