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Special report
Monsoon:
Ex Tropical Cyclone 03P (Jasper) is now a low and making it's way over to the Gulf. Still dropping heavy rain over the FNQ but should ease tonight as it continues moving West. We will track the system as there is a chance at this stage of redevelopment in the Gulf as it moves towards Nhulunbuy.
Storms:
A tropical low (ex-Tropical Cyclone Jasper) will bring heavy rain, storms, and strong winds to north QLD. Troughs will maintain heat and generate showers and storms in the NT and QLD. A front and trough should bring showers to TAS. Highs will keep much of the country's south dry.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Moderate Flood Warning For The Barron River.
Fire Weather Warning for Midwest Coast and Midwest Inland.
Strong Wind Warning for Perth Local Waters & Gascoyne, Geraldton, Perth, Bunbury Geographe & Leeuwin coasts. Cancelled Lancelin Coast.
Severe Weather Warning (Locally Intense Rain & Winds) North Tropical Cst & Tablelands & Peninsula, G Country & Nthn Goldfields & UFlinders.
Minor Flood Warning For The Tully River And Flood Warning For The Murray River.
Strong Wind Warning for Sydney Enclosed Waters & Byron, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Central, Central Gippsland and East Gippsland coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Lower South East Coast.
Gale Warning South East Coast. Strong Wind Warning Banks Strait & Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Is & CN, Lower East & South West coasts.
Major Flood Warning For The Daintree And Flood Warning For The Mossman River.
Flood Watch For Parts Of The North Tropical Coast And Parts Of The Cape York Peninsula.
Fire Weather Warning for Greater Hunter and Greater Sydney Region.
Final Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Movement of ex TC Jasper over 4 days
National
Former Cyclone Jasper moves west across Cape York Peninsula and enters southern Gulf of Carpentaria on Friday. Tasman Sea's high keeps ridge over southern and central Queensland, while trough moves east and brings increased heat and unsettled conditions in southern Queensland.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
Former Tropical Cyclone Jasper moves west across Cape York Peninsula, reaching the southern Gulf of Carpentaria on Friday. A high in the Tasman Sea creates a ridge over southern and central Queensland. A trough in western Queensland moves eastward, causing hotter temperatures and instable weather in southern Queensland over the weekend.
ACCESS 3Hour Rainfall
4-day
Friday: Rain and thunderstorms in southern Cape York Peninsula and Far North Queensland due to Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jasper. Showers in remaining eastern areas north of Mackay. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in western Queensland, possibly severe in Maranoa and Warrego. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Moderate east to northeasterly winds, fresh to strong in Far North Queensland. Winds tending west to northwesterly in the southwest.
Saturday: Saturday: Showers and storms in Cape York and North Tropical Coast, with heavy rain possible. Some showers and storms in inland and southeast Queensland, possibly severe in South East Queensland. Sunny in the southwest. Isolated showers in eastern districts between Cooktown and Townsville. Severe heatwave in the southeast. High temperatures in the southeast, cooler in Far North Queensland.
Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms across Queensland, with some severe in the southeast. Sunny in the southwest. Severe heatwave in the southeast. Above average temps in the southeast and west, below average in the north.
Monday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms in SE, central, and NW Queensland. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms on the Peninsula. Isolated showers in remaining eastern areas. Sunny in the southwest. Temps above average to the south of Hughenden, below average in the far north.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: 28, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h easterly, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: Very high chance of rain with heavy falls possible, Other: Cloudy, chance of a thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
The weather for tomorrow will be cloudy with a high chance of rain, a chance of thunderstorms, winds from east to northeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening, and temperatures dropping to the low to mid 20s overnight and reaching 25 to 30 during the day.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: around 30, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h then light, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Other: Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm inland from late morning.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: 33, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: northwest to northeasterly, Rainfall: Cloudy with very high chance of showers, chance of severe thunderstorms and heavy falls possible south of Coen.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 32 to 41, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: increasing from 20 to 30 km/h to 25 to 35 km/h then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly then tending east to northeasterly, Rainfall: partly cloudy with very high chance of showers in the north and medium chance elsewhere, heavy falls possible in the north, Other conditions: chance of a thunderstorm.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: 38, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: Very high chance of rain in the north, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: 32 to 38, Min temperature: 19 to 23, Wind speed: Light becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: North, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of shower in the southwest and near zero chance elsewhere, Other: Chance of thunderstorm in the South in the afternoon and evening.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature is in the low to mid 30s, min temperature is in the low 20s, wind speed changes from light to 15-20 km/h, wind direction is becoming north to northeasterly, medium chance of showers in the south and slight chance elsewhere, chance of thunderstorm overnight.
Central West:
Max temp: 40, Min temp: low 20s, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: north to northeasterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening, Chance of thunderstorm.
North West:
Max temperature: 40, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: light to easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming east to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: easterly becoming east to southeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 40, Min temperature: mid to high 20, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: southeast to southwesterly, Rainfall: Mostly sunny with possible thunderstorm in the northeast.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature: 39C, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: west to northwesterly, Rainfall: slight chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy, slight chance of thunderstorm
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind: N-NW 15-20 km/h, Tstorm, partly cloudy, chance of showers.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 32 to 37. Min temperature: around 20. Wind speed: light, becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning, then tending northerly 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Wind direction: northwesterly, then northerly. Rainfall: medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. Other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm in the late morning, possibly severe.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: NW 15-20 km/h turning N to NE 15-25 km/h, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Wind direction: NW-N-NE, Other: Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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