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Monsoon update
06U / 94P looks now to be moving further East, this one could be a traveller like Winston. It is pushing the SE trade winds against the QLD coast allowing for surprise showers to make it to locations like Townsville over the last few evenings. We will continue to watch this as JTWC has labeled this TC12 which means they consider it a tropical cyclone under their criteria.
EC | ACCESS | GFS
National
Troughs will bring showers and storms to the northern tropics, with isolated storms reaching central Queensland and northern New South Wales. Onshore flow is expected to drive showers along the coastal areas of Queensland and northeast New South Wales. High pressure will dominate much of the southern regions, keeping them dry and settled.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
An inland trough is bringing unstable conditions from northwestern Queensland through the central and southern interior. It will move west slowly tomorrow before stalling and weakening over the weekend. A ridge is persisting over eastern Queensland, bringing showers to the east coast as highs move east across the Great Australian Bight and southern Tasman Sea. A weak trough lies across the Peninsula to the north of the ridge, extending from a low in the eastern Coral Sea. This trough is expected to persist and may deepen next week.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms across parts of the Peninsula, Gulf Country, and northern and southern interior. Showers also expected in eastern districts south of Cooktown. Clear in the Channel Country. East to southeasterly winds across the state, occasionally fresh in the southwest and along the south coast. Light northwesterly winds in the northern Peninsula and Torres Strait.
Saturday: Few showers and thunderstorms in western Queensland, the Gulf Country, and southern inland Queensland, becoming scattered on the Peninsula. Showers isolated in eastern districts south of Cairns, becoming scattered in South East Queensland. Below average maximum temperatures in western and southern Queensland, above average elsewhere.
Sunday: Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in some parts of Queensland. Cooler temperatures in the southeast, warmer in other areas.
Monday: Western Queensland and the Gulf Country will have isolated showers and thunderstorms, while the Peninsula will experience scattered showers. Eastern districts can expect scattered showers as well. The rest of the region will be partly cloudy. Maximum temperatures will be below average in the northwest, but above average in other areas.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature 33, min temperature 20, wind speed 15-25 km/h, wind direction east to southeasterly, chance of showers and thunderstorm, partly cloudy.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Other: Partly cloudy with light winds.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
The weather will be partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers, southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h, and temperatures ranging from the low to mid 20s overnight to 29 to 34 during the day.
Peninsula:
Max temp: low to mid 30s, min temp: low to mid 20s, wind speed: light, wind direction: not specified, rainfall: high chance of showers, chance of thunderstorm, sky condition: partly cloudy.
Gulf Country:
The weather will be partly cloudy with showers in the north and a chance of thunderstorm, light winds, with overnight temperatures in the mid 20s and daytime temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: low to high 30s; Min temperature: low 20s; Wind speed: light winds becoming 15-25 km/h; Wind direction: east to southeasterly; Rainfall: slight chance of a shower in the north, near zero chance elsewhere; Other: Mostly sunny, chance of a thunderstorm.
Capricornia:
The forecast includes a maximum temperature in the low to mid 30s, minimum temperatures in the low to mid 20s, southeasterly winds of 15 to 25 km/h, and a medium chance of showers in the north.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: none, Other: Partly cloudy with light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then becoming light in the late evening and overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s.
Central West:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15-25 km/h in the morning then tending east to southeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower in the southwest from late morning, near zero chance of rain elsewhere, other: mostly sunny, chance of a thunderstorm.
North West:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: high chance of showers west of Mt Isa, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h to 25 to 35 km/h, Wind direction: south to southeasterly to east to southeasterly, Rainfall: Medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: easterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: easterly to southeasterly, Rainfall: partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers in the southwest, slight chance elsewhere, Other: chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: 34, Min temperature: 18, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm in the southwest.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 33, Min temperature: 19, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: southeasterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, other: Partly cloudy.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: high 20s, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: south to southeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with temperatures falling overnight and winds becoming southeasterly.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Leeuwin, Albany, and Esperance coasts.
Fire Weather Warning for various regions in Western Australia.
Moderate Flood Warning for the Diamantina River.
Strong Wind Warning for Hervey Bay, Sunshine Coast Waters & Capricornia, and Fraser Island coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Lower East Coast and Spencer Gulf, and Gulf St Vincent.
Strong Wind Warning for Byron and Coffs coasts.
Major Flood Warning for the Balonne River, Flinders River, and Nicholson River, with a Flood Warning for the Leichhardt River.
Moderate Flood Warning for Eyre Creek.
Minor Flood Warning for the Lower Warrego River (Queensland), Moonie River, Bulloo River, Paroo River (Queensland), and Cooper Creek.
Flood Warning for the Inland Rivers in South Australia.
Minor Flood Warning for the Paroo River (New South Wales).
Minor Flood Warning for the Dawson River.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
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Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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