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Storms special report
Troughs broaden, causing scattered showers and storms in WA, NT, northern SA, southwest QLD, and northern NSW. Some storms may be intense. Troughs maintain heat over the interior and draw some to NSW. A front brings cooler gusty winds to the southeast.
Weather Warnings:
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday: Gascoyne, Geraldton, Lancelin, Perth, Bunbury Geographe, and Leeuwin coasts
Strong Wind Warning: Macquarie, Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts
Tropical low special report
A weather system (Invest 91P) is present near 7.5°S 164.0°E, about 224 nautical miles north-northeast of Nendo, Solomon Islands. Satellite images and microwave data show a broad area with signs of rotation and strong outward flow of clouds toward the pole. There's ongoing thunderstorm activity around the center, and environmental conditions are generally favorable for further development, with good upper-level divergence and high sea surface temperatures, although there is moderate vertical wind shear. Multiple weather models predict that this system will likely strengthen and organize as it moves south-southeastward over the next 48 hours. Currently, it has estimated sustained winds of 18 to 22 knots, and the minimum sea level pressure is around 1002 mb. The likelihood of it becoming a significant tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours is considered low.
Storms | 91P Tropical Low Satellite | Forecast model ECWMF for tropical Low
National
Persistent high by New Zealand keeps ridge and onshore winds over eastern Queensland, while central Australia trough brings moist air to the west. The trough will head east, bringing instability and unsettled weather to western and southern Queensland. Upper trough may cross south Queensland, increasing shower and thunderstorm activity in the southeast next week.
State
Persistent high by New Zealand keeps ridge and onshore winds over eastern Queensland, while central Australia trough brings moist air to the west. The trough will head east, bringing instability and unsettled weather to western and southern Queensland. Upper trough may cross south Queensland, increasing shower and thunderstorm activity in the southeast next week.
4-day
Sunday: Saturday's weather in western Queensland will have isolated showers and thunderstorms, becoming scattered in the far west. The east will be partially cloudy while elsewhere will be mostly clear. Winds will be light to moderate from the east to northeasterly direction, transitioning to moderate north to northwesterly winds in the southwest.
Monday: Isolated showers and storms likely in Gulf Country and inland southern Queensland. Severe thunderstorms possible in Granite Belt. Partly cloudy with showers in Wet Tropics. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Above average temps in south and central districts, much above average in southwest, below average in north. High fire danger in interior.
Tuesday: Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms in southwest Queensland and inland South East Queensland. Partly cloudy in Far North, mostly sunny elsewhere. Above average temperatures in the south, and well above average in the far south. High fire danger inland.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and storms in southern and southeast QLD. Mostly sunny in other areas. Above-average temps in central and southern QLD.
Townsville
Min 22°C, Max 31°C, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. Light winds becoming easterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning, then light in the late evening.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin
Min 19°C, Max 30°C, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn, then becoming easterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands
Min 18°C, Max 30°C, Mostly sunny, 5% chance of rain. Mostly sunny. Winds east to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.
Cairns
Min 22°C, Max 31°C, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. Light winds becoming southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the evening.
Mackay
Min 19°C, Max 28°C, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. Winds east to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Northern Goldfields
Min 21°C, Max 36°C, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then tending easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
Mt Isa
Min 20°C, Max 36°C, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. Sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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