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Storms special report
Troughs over the east will trigger rain, showers & storms.
Heavy falls are likely in southern Qld & eastern NSW.
A linked trough over western NT will also trigger showers & storms.
A high will keep the remainder mostly dry & combine with a trough to drive hot winds to southern WA. We have 3 maps now, first showing National 24 hours of accumulated rain over 8 days, second QLD and the third Likelihood of rain over 10mm. As we get closer to the systems impacting QLD we can break it apart more. We are in a period of uncertainty where forecasting beyond 5 days involves some big margins of error.
WEATHER WARNINGS:
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Geraldton, Lancelin, Perth, Bunbury Geographe & Leeuwin coasts. Cancelled Monday for Perth Local Waters.
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for South East Coast.
Fire Weather Warning for Lower West Inland and Brockman.
ACCESS National Rain | ACCESS QLD Rain | GFS QLD Rainfall likely over 10mm
National
Western Queensland trough deepening, drawing moisture across state. Upper troughs enhance interior shower and thunderstorm activity. Tasman Sea high maintains ridge, new high strengthens ridge briefly, moves east. High reaches Tasman Sea on Friday or Saturday.
State
A trough will deepen over western Queensland, bringing moisture to the state. Upper troughs moving east will enhance shower and thunderstorm activity. A weak high in the Tasman Sea will maintain a ridge along the east coast. A new high will strengthen the ridge on Friday before reaching the Tasman Sea.
4-day
Tuesday: Monday's weather forecast includes some showers and thunderstorms in western and interior regions, becoming more widespread with periods of rain in central and southern areas. There is a potential for severe thunderstorms in the far west, as well as southern and central inland regions of Queensland. Additionally, there will be isolated to scattered showers along the northeast coast, becoming more widespread with patchy rain in South East Queensland. The rest of the state will be partly cloudy. Winds will be light to moderate, mainly from the north to northeast direction, shifting to the northeast to southeasterly direction north of Ingham. In the far west of the state, winds will be light and variable.
Wednesday: Some showers and storms across the state, mostly on the east coast. More widespread in central and southern Inland. Severe storms possible in south interior. Showers for Peninsula and North Tropical Coast. Temperatures below average except in far southwest.
Thursday: Some showers and thunderstorms across the state, mainly on the east coast. More widespread activity expected in the central and southern interior, with potential for severe thunderstorms. Showers also expected on the Peninsula and North Tropical Coast. Below average temperatures in western and central areas, near average elsewhere.
Friday: Some showers and thunderstorms in the state, mostly on the east and north coasts. More rain expected in parts of the interior. Possibility of severe thunderstorms. Cold in the west and interior, warm in the far northern Peninsula and average elsewhere.
Townsville
Min 24°C, Max 31°C, Partly cloudy. Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm. Chance of any rain: 30%. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin
Min 22°C, Max 31°C, Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 10%. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland from the late morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands
Min 22°C, Max 31°C, Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 10%. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland from the late morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
Cairns
Min 24°C, Max 31°C, Shower or two. Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm. Chance of any rain: 60% - Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
Mackay
Min 21°C, Max 30°C, Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 20% - Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Rockhampton
Min 22°C, Max 30°C, Shower or two. Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm. Chance of any rain: 70% - Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.
Northern Goldfields
Min 25°C, Max 37°C, Possible late storm. Chance of any rain: 20% Medium chance of showers about the Gregory Ranges, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.
Longreach
Min 21°C, Max 35°C, Possible shower or storm. Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm. Chance of any rain: 40%. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.
Mt Isa
Min 21°C, Max 35°C, Possible storm. Chance of any rain: 20%. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.
Click here to support to Wally's Weather
National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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